Ligue 2hub →Ligue 2 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
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Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Nancy | 12 | 25 | 17.3 | +7.7Outperforming ++ | 6 | +2.5 | +5.2 | 1:4 vs Red Star (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Montpellier (-1.3) |
2 | Montpellier | 12 | 24 | 18.1 | +5.9Outperforming ++ | 4 | +0.4 | +5.5 | 0:1 vs Dunkerque (+1.8) | 2:3 vs Metz (-1.6) |
3 | St Etienne | 12 | 28 | 23.5 | +4.5Outperforming | 1 | +5.2 | -0.7 | 0:1 vs Red Star (+1.4) | 2:1 vs Dunkerque (-2.0) |
4 | Pau FC | 12 | 20 | 15.5 | +4.5Outperforming | 11 | -0.3 | +4.8 | 0:1 vs Dijon (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Nancy (-1.4) |
5 | Dijon | 12 | 18 | 15.8 | +2.2Outperforming | 10 | +0.6 | +1.6 | 1:2 vs Annecy (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Pau FC (-1.7) |
6 | Reims | 12 | 21 | 19.9 | +1.1On expectation | 2 | +1.3 | -0.2 | 1:4 vs Red Star (+1.5) | 3:2 vs Grenoble (-1.8) |
7 | Annecy | 12 | 16 | 15.1 | +0.9On expectation | 13 | -2.6 | +3.5 | 0:1 vs Dunkerque (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Dijon (-1.6) |
8 | Red Star | 12 | 17 | 16.6 | +0.3On expectation | 7 | -3.0 | +3.4 | 0:1 vs Nantes (+2.1) | 1:4 vs Nancy (-1.4) |
9 | Dunkerque | 12 | 15 | 15.1 | -0.1On expectation | 12 | +1.1 | -1.3 | 2:3 vs Nantes (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Annecy (-1.5) |
10 | Metz | 12 | 17 | 17.8 | -0.8On expectation | 5 | +1.4 | -2.1 | 2:3 vs Montpellier (+1.9) | 1:3 vs Pau FC (-1.6) |
11 | Grenoble | 12 | 11 | 12.4 | -1.4On expectation | 18 | -2.1 | +0.7 | 3:2 vs Reims (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Boulogne (-1.3) |
12 | Boulogne | 12 | 13 | 14.6 | -1.6On expectation | 14 | -0.6 | -1.0 | 0:2 vs Grenoble (+1.6) | 1:0 vs Laval (-1.3) |
13 | Clermont | 12 | 11 | 13.0 | -2.0On expectation | 17 | -1.4 | -0.6 | 1:0 vs Rodez (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Guingamp (-1.1) |
14 | Guingamp | 12 | 14 | 16.1 | -2.1Underperforming | 8 | +1.3 | -3.4 | 3:0 vs St Etienne (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Pau FC (-1.5) |
15 | Sochaux | 12 | 11 | 13.9 | -2.9Underperforming | 15 | +0.5 | -3.4 | 1:0 vs Nantes (+1.9) | 1:3 vs Annecy (-1.5) |
16 | Rodez | 12 | 13 | 15.9 | -2.9Underperforming | 9 | -2.5 | -0.5 | 2:5 vs Nantes (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Grenoble (-1.8) |
17 | Laval | 12 | 9 | 13.8 | -4.8Underperforming | 16 | -0.4 | -4.4 | 2:1 vs Nantes (+1.9) | 0:3 vs Grenoble (-1.6) |
18 | Nantes | 12 | 12 | 19.9 | -7.8Underperforming −− | 3 | -6.0 | -1.8 | 0:2 vs Pau FC (+1.4) | 2:3 vs Dunkerque (-2.0) |