Ligue 2hub →Ligue 2 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Red Star | 7 | 14 | 9.7 | +4.3Outperforming | 7 | -0.5 | +4.7 | 0:1 vs Nantes (+2.1) | 1:4 vs Reims (-1.3) |
2 | St Etienne | 7 | 16 | 13.8 | +2.2Outperforming | 1 | +2.5 | -0.3 | 0:3 vs Sochaux (+1.3) | 2:1 vs Dunkerque (-2.0) |
3 | Montpellier | 7 | 12 | 9.9 | +2.1Outperforming | 5 | -0.4 | +2.5 | 0:1 vs Dunkerque (+1.8) | 0:0 vs Boulogne (-0.9) |
4 | Sochaux | 7 | 10 | 8.3 | +1.7On expectation | 15 | +2.5 | -0.8 | 1:0 vs Nantes (+1.9) | 0:3 vs St Etienne (-1.0) |
5 | Reims | 7 | 13 | 11.8 | +1.2On expectation | 2 | -1.1 | +2.3 | 1:4 vs Red Star (+1.5) | 2:2 vs Guingamp (-0.9) |
6 | Nancy | 7 | 10 | 8.9 | +1.1On expectation | 12 | -1.0 | +2.1 | 3:4 vs Rodez (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Montpellier (-1.3) |
7 | Annecy | 7 | 10 | 9.3 | +0.8On expectation | 9 | -0.3 | +1.0 | 0:1 vs Pau FC (+1.6) | 1:2 vs Dijon (-1.6) |
8 | Grenoble | 7 | 8 | 7.3 | +0.7On expectation | 18 | -1.8 | +2.4 | 0:1 vs Rodez (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Annecy (-1.1) |
9 | Dijon | 7 | 9 | 9.1 | -0.1On expectation | 11 | -1.2 | +1.1 | 1:2 vs Annecy (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Pau FC (-1.7) |
10 | Metz | 7 | 10 | 10.4 | -0.4On expectation | 4 | +1.7 | -2.1 | 2:1 vs Guingamp (+1.3) | 1:0 vs Red Star (-1.2) |
11 | Pau FC | 7 | 8 | 8.6 | -0.6On expectation | 13 | -1.7 | +1.1 | 0:1 vs Dijon (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Nancy (-1.4) |
12 | Dunkerque | 7 | 8 | 9.2 | -1.2On expectation | 10 | +1.2 | -2.4 | 2:1 vs St Etienne (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Montpellier (-1.5) |
13 | Guingamp | 7 | 8 | 9.5 | -1.5On expectation | 8 | +0.8 | -2.3 | 2:1 vs Annecy (+1.3) | 1:3 vs Red Star (-1.4) |
14 | Clermont | 7 | 6 | 7.9 | -1.9On expectation | 17 | -1.1 | -0.8 | 1:1 vs Dunkerque (+0.1) | 3:1 vs St Etienne (-0.6) |
15 | Rodez | 7 | 7 | 9.8 | -2.9Underperforming | 6 | -2.6 | -0.3 | 2:5 vs Nantes (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Grenoble (-1.8) |
16 | Boulogne | 7 | 5 | 7.9 | -2.9Underperforming | 16 | -1.8 | -1.1 | 0:0 vs Montpellier (+0.1) | 1:2 vs Nantes (-1.1) |
17 | Laval | 7 | 5 | 8.4 | -3.5Underperforming | 14 | -1.4 | -2.1 | 2:1 vs Nantes (+1.9) | 0:3 vs Grenoble (-1.7) |
18 | Nantes | 7 | 7 | 11.7 | -4.7Underperforming | 3 | -2.4 | -2.3 | 1:2 vs Boulogne (+1.4) | 0:1 vs Red Star (-1.9) |