Ligue 2hub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Grenoble | 38 | 65 | 53.9 | +11.2Outperforming ++ | 8 | +12.0 | -0.9 | 0:2 vs Le Havre (+1.9) | 1:0 vs Rodez (-1.4) |
2 | Troyes | 38 | 77 | 66.3 | +10.7Outperforming ++ | 2 | +13.3 | -2.5 | 0:4 vs AC Ajaccio (+1.6) | 3:2 vs Le Havre (-2.2) |
3 | Toulouse | 38 | 70 | 59.8 | +10.2Outperforming ++ | 3 | +10.4 | -0.2 | 0:1 vs Amiens (+2.0) | 1:0 vs Niort (-2.0) |
4 | Paris FC | 38 | 64 | 57.0 | +7.0Outperforming ++ | 5 | +7.6 | -0.6 | 1:2 vs Amiens (+1.8) | 2:0 vs Valenciennes (-1.7) |
5 | Valenciennes | 38 | 47 | 42.8 | +4.2Outperforming | 17 | +3.8 | +0.4 | 1:3 vs Nancy (+2.2) | 2:3 vs Nancy (-1.4) |
6 | Clermont | 38 | 72 | 69.2 | +2.8Outperforming | 1 | +6.5 | -3.7 | 0:1 vs Auxerre (+1.7) | 2:1 vs Pau FC (-2.0) |
7 | Auxerre | 38 | 62 | 59.5 | +2.5Outperforming | 4 | +4.0 | -1.5 | 0:3 vs Paris FC (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Rodez (-1.7) |
8 | Sochaux | 38 | 51 | 52.0 | -1.0On expectation | 9 | -3.2 | +2.3 | 0:2 vs Auxerre (+2.0) | 3:4 vs Niort (-1.6) |
9 | Pau FC | 38 | 44 | 45.5 | -1.5On expectation | 15 | +7.2 | -8.8 | 2:1 vs Clermont (+2.3) | 1:0 vs Chambly (-1.5) |
10 | Dunkerque | 38 | 41 | 42.8 | -1.8On expectation | 18 | +1.9 | -3.7 | 3:1 vs AC Ajaccio (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Le Havre (-1.3) |
11 | Chambly | 38 | 38 | 39.9 | -1.9On expectation | 20 | +1.7 | -3.6 | 2:1 vs AC Ajaccio (+2.0) | 0:3 vs Paris FC (-1.4) |
12 | Nancy | 38 | 47 | 49.0 | -2.0Underperforming | 12 | -1.5 | -0.5 | 1:5 vs Troyes (+2.2) | 1:3 vs Valenciennes (-2.0) |
13 | Le Havre | 38 | 47 | 49.4 | -2.4Underperforming | 11 | -6.5 | +4.0 | 3:2 vs Troyes (+2.4) | 2:4 vs Chambly (-1.7) |
14 | Niort | 38 | 41 | 44.2 | -3.2Underperforming | 16 | -0.1 | -3.1 | 1:0 vs Toulouse (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Dunkerque (-1.6) |
15 | Rodez | 38 | 43 | 46.7 | -3.7Underperforming | 14 | +1.6 | -5.3 | 2:0 vs Clermont (+2.2) | 1:0 vs Chambly (-1.4) |
16 | Amiens | 38 | 47 | 51.6 | -4.6Underperforming | 10 | +0.8 | -5.3 | 3:1 vs Troyes (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Toulouse (-1.6) |
17 | Caen | 38 | 41 | 48.0 | -7.0Underperforming −− | 13 | +0.7 | -7.6 | 2:1 vs Clermont (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Rodez (-1.5) |
18 | Guingamp | 38 | 47 | 54.6 | -7.6Underperforming −− | 6 | -7.9 | +0.3 | 0:2 vs AC Ajaccio (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Niort (-2.0) |
19 | AC Ajaccio | 38 | 46 | 54.0 | -8.0Underperforming −− | 7 | -0.2 | -7.8 | 0:2 vs Clermont (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Chateauroux (-1.9) |
20 | Chateauroux | 38 | 23 | 40.7 | -17.7Underperforming −− | 19 | -9.1 | -8.6 | 0:1 vs AC Ajaccio (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Dunkerque (-1.6) |
