Ligue 2 2023-2024 Performance vs Market

Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	Angers	38	68	59.3	+8.7Outperforming ++	4	+10.0	-1.4	1:2 vs Guingamp (+1.8)	1:3 vs Amiens (-1.8)
2	Rodez	38	60	51.9	+8.2Outperforming ++	9	+6.0	+2.1	2:1 vs St Etienne (+1.9)	0:1 vs Valenciennes (-1.7)
3	Pau FC	38	51	44.3	+6.7Outperforming ++	17	+1.1	+5.6	1:2 vs St Etienne (+2.2)	1:2 vs Bastia (-1.8)
4	Auxerre	38	74	69.0	+5.0Outperforming ++	1	+3.0	+2.0	2:4 vs Bordeaux (+1.9)	0:1 vs Dunkerque (-2.3)
5	Paris FC	38	59	54.4	+4.6Outperforming	7	+3.9	+0.7	0:1 vs St Etienne (+2.1)	1:2 vs Dunkerque (-1.9)
6	Laval	38	55	51.1	+3.9Outperforming	11	-6.2	+10.0	0:1 vs Guingamp (+2.1)	0:3 vs Concarneau (-1.8)
7	Bastia	38	51	47.3	+3.7Outperforming	14	+1.6	+2.1	0:1 vs Guingamp (+2.1)	1:4 vs Pau FC (-1.8)
8	Caen	38	58	55.3	+2.7Outperforming	6	+4.4	-1.8	1:2 vs Bastia (+1.9)	1:2 vs Grenoble (-1.8)
9	Amiens	38	53	50.5	+2.5Outperforming	12	-3.0	+5.6	0:1 vs Auxerre (+2.2)	2:3 vs Pau FC (-1.7)
10	St Etienne	38	65	62.6	+2.4Outperforming	2	-0.5	+3.0	1:2 vs Caen (+1.9)	0:1 vs Grenoble (-2.1)
11	Dunkerque	38	46	43.6	+2.4Outperforming	18	-8.9	+11.3	0:1 vs Auxerre (+2.5)	0:5 vs Bastia (-1.6)
12	Annecy	38	46	45.6	+0.4On expectation	15	-5.1	+5.5	1:4 vs Guingamp (+2.4)	0:1 vs Grenoble (-1.7)
13	Grenoble	38	51	51.6	-0.6On expectation	10	-1.0	+0.4	0:1 vs St Etienne (+2.3)	0:1 vs Pau FC (-1.8)
14	Troyes	38	41	45.0	-4.0Underperforming	16	-0.5	-3.5	0:1 vs Bordeaux (+2.4)	0:1 vs Valenciennes (-2.0)
15	Concarneau	38	38	42.2	-4.2Underperforming	19	-3.9	-0.3	0:1 vs Guingamp (+2.3)	1:2 vs Pau FC (-1.5)
16	AC Ajaccio	38	46	50.3	-4.3Underperforming	13	+7.3	-11.7	2:0 vs St Etienne (+2.0)	1:0 vs Valenciennes (-1.7)
17	Guingamp	38	51	57.4	-6.4Underperforming −−	5	-10.3	+4.0	0:1 vs Caen (+2.0)	1:4 vs Annecy (-2.2)
18	Valenciennes	38	29	37.7	-8.7Underperforming −−	20	-4.5	-4.2	0:1 vs Troyes (+2.2)	0:1 vs Concarneau (-1.5)
19	Bordeaux	38	51	60.7	-9.7Underperforming −−	3	+1.1	-10.8	0:1 vs Caen (+1.8)	0:1 vs Troyes (-2.2)
20	Quevilly Rouen	38	38	52.3	-14.3Underperforming −−	8	-9.9	-4.4	2:1 vs St Etienne (+2.2)	2:3 vs Concarneau (-1.8)

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	Angers	38	68	59.3	+8.7Outperforming ++	4	+10.0	-1.4	1:2 vs Guingamp (+1.8)	1:3 vs Amiens (-1.8)
2	Rodez	38	60	51.9	+8.2Outperforming ++	9	+6.0	+2.1	2:1 vs St Etienne (+1.9)	0:1 vs Valenciennes (-1.7)
3	Pau FC	38	51	44.3	+6.7Outperforming ++	17	+1.1	+5.6	1:2 vs St Etienne (+2.2)	1:2 vs Bastia (-1.8)
4	Auxerre	38	74	69.0	+5.0Outperforming ++	1	+3.0	+2.0	2:4 vs Bordeaux (+1.9)	0:1 vs Dunkerque (-2.3)
5	Paris FC	38	59	54.4	+4.6Outperforming	7	+3.9	+0.7	0:1 vs St Etienne (+2.1)	1:2 vs Dunkerque (-1.9)
6	Laval	38	55	51.1	+3.9Outperforming	11	-6.2	+10.0	0:1 vs Guingamp (+2.1)	0:3 vs Concarneau (-1.8)
7	Bastia	38	51	47.3	+3.7Outperforming	14	+1.6	+2.1	0:1 vs Guingamp (+2.1)	1:4 vs Pau FC (-1.8)
8	Caen	38	58	55.3	+2.7Outperforming	6	+4.4	-1.8	1:2 vs Bastia (+1.9)	1:2 vs Grenoble (-1.8)
9	Amiens	38	53	50.5	+2.5Outperforming	12	-3.0	+5.6	0:1 vs Auxerre (+2.2)	2:3 vs Pau FC (-1.7)
10	St Etienne	38	65	62.6	+2.4Outperforming	2	-0.5	+3.0	1:2 vs Caen (+1.9)	0:1 vs Grenoble (-2.1)
11	Dunkerque	38	46	43.6	+2.4Outperforming	18	-8.9	+11.3	0:1 vs Auxerre (+2.5)	0:5 vs Bastia (-1.6)
12	Annecy	38	46	45.6	+0.4On expectation	15	-5.1	+5.5	1:4 vs Guingamp (+2.4)	0:1 vs Grenoble (-1.7)
13	Grenoble	38	51	51.6	-0.6On expectation	10	-1.0	+0.4	0:1 vs St Etienne (+2.3)	0:1 vs Pau FC (-1.8)
14	Troyes	38	41	45.0	-4.0Underperforming	16	-0.5	-3.5	0:1 vs Bordeaux (+2.4)	0:1 vs Valenciennes (-2.0)
15	Concarneau	38	38	42.2	-4.2Underperforming	19	-3.9	-0.3	0:1 vs Guingamp (+2.3)	1:2 vs Pau FC (-1.5)
16	AC Ajaccio	38	46	50.3	-4.3Underperforming	13	+7.3	-11.7	2:0 vs St Etienne (+2.0)	1:0 vs Valenciennes (-1.7)
17	Guingamp	38	51	57.4	-6.4Underperforming −−	5	-10.3	+4.0	0:1 vs Caen (+2.0)	1:4 vs Annecy (-2.2)
18	Valenciennes	38	29	37.7	-8.7Underperforming −−	20	-4.5	-4.2	0:1 vs Troyes (+2.2)	0:1 vs Concarneau (-1.5)
19	Bordeaux	38	51	60.7	-9.7Underperforming −−	3	+1.1	-10.8	0:1 vs Caen (+1.8)	0:1 vs Troyes (-2.2)
20	Quevilly Rouen	38	38	52.3	-14.3Underperforming −−	8	-9.9	-4.4	2:1 vs St Etienne (+2.2)	2:3 vs Concarneau (-1.8)