A-Leaguehub →A-League 2025-2026 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Newcastle Jets | 26 | 48 | 37.4 | +10.6Outperforming ++ | 5 | +1.6 | +9.0 | 1:3 vs Auckland FC (+2.2) | 4:5 vs Macarthur FC (-1.8) |
2 | Central Coast Mariners | 26 | 32 | 23.9 | +8.1Outperforming ++ | 12 | +2.2 | +5.9 | 0:1 vs Auckland FC (+2.5) | 1:2 vs Brisbane Roar (-1.1) |
3 | Adelaide United | 26 | 43 | 35.0 | +8.0Outperforming ++ | 7 | +4.6 | +3.4 | 1:2 vs Sydney FC (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Brisbane Roar (-1.7) |
4 | Wellington Phoenix | 26 | 33 | 28.0 | +5.0Outperforming | 11 | +1.0 | +4.0 | 0:3 vs Brisbane Roar (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Macarthur FC (-1.4) |
5 | Perth Glory | 26 | 31 | 30.4 | +0.6On expectation | 10 | -0.7 | +1.3 | 1:3 vs Melbourne City (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Brisbane Roar (-1.7) |
6 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 34 | 33.8 | +0.2On expectation | 8 | +0.2 | +0.0 | 1:2 vs Auckland FC (+2.2) | 1:3 vs Central Coast Mariners (-2.0) |
7 | Melbourne Victory | 26 | 40 | 41.1 | -1.1On expectation | 3 | -0.5 | -0.6 | 0:1 vs Melbourne City (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Wellington Phoenix (-2.0) |
8 | Sydney FC | 26 | 39 | 40.4 | -1.4On expectation | 4 | -2.8 | +1.4 | 4:1 vs WS Wanderers (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Wellington Phoenix (-2.0) |
9 | Auckland FC | 26 | 42 | 45.3 | -3.3Underperforming | 1 | -6.1 | +2.8 | 0:2 vs WS Wanderers (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Central Coast Mariners (-2.4) |
10 | Melbourne City | 26 | 38 | 43.4 | -5.4Underperforming −− | 2 | -3.3 | -2.1 | 0:1 vs Sydney FC (+1.7) | 1:3 vs Perth Glory (-2.0) |
11 | Brisbane Roar | 26 | 26 | 33.7 | -7.7Underperforming −− | 9 | -6.0 | -1.7 | 0:1 vs Adelaide United (+2.0) | 0:3 vs Wellington Phoenix (-2.1) |
12 | WS Wanderers | 26 | 21 | 36.9 | -15.9Underperforming −− | 6 | -6.8 | -9.1 | 0:1 vs Melbourne Victory (+1.9) | 3:2 vs Central Coast Mariners (-1.9) |