A-League 2022-2023 Performance vs Market

Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	Melbourne City	26	55	48.1	+6.9Outperforming ++	1	+7.3	-0.4	2:1 vs Melbourne Victory (+1.7)	3:2 vs Melbourne Victory (-1.7)
2	Adelaide United	26	42	36.5	+5.5Outperforming ++	6	+3.4	+2.1	4:2 vs Melbourne City (+2.0)	0:1 vs Newcastle Jets (-1.9)
3	Central Coast Mariners	26	44	39.6	+4.4Outperforming	3	+1.8	+2.6	0:3 vs WS Wanderers (+2.0)	2:3 vs Macarthur FC (-2.0)
4	WS Wanderers	26	41	38.0	+3.0Outperforming	5	+4.9	-1.9	0:1 vs Sydney FC (+2.0)	1:0 vs Perth Glory (-1.7)
5	Perth Glory	26	29	28.5	+0.5On expectation	11	+6.8	-6.3	1:2 vs Central Coast Mariners (+2.0)	1:2 vs Western United (-1.5)
6	Wellington Phoenix	26	35	35.0	-0.1On expectation	7	+0.2	-0.2	0:1 vs Sydney FC (+2.0)	2:3 vs Western United (-1.7)
7	Western United	26	32	32.2	-0.2On expectation	9	-2.6	+2.4	0:1 vs Adelaide United (+2.1)	2:1 vs Perth Glory (-1.6)
8	Macarthur FC	26	26	27.1	-1.1On expectation	12	+2.2	-3.4	2:3 vs Central Coast Mariners (+2.3)	0:1 vs Newcastle Jets (-1.4)
9	Newcastle Jets	26	29	30.2	-1.2On expectation	10	-0.5	-0.7	0:1 vs Adelaide United (+2.2)	1:3 vs Western United (-1.6)
10	Brisbane Roar	26	30	32.5	-2.5Underperforming	8	-0.8	-1.7	0:1 vs Melbourne Victory (+2.1)	0:1 vs Wellington Phoenix (-1.5)
11	Sydney FC	26	38	41.7	-3.7Underperforming	2	-4.3	+0.6	2:1 vs Melbourne City (+1.8)	0:3 vs Macarthur FC (-2.0)
12	Melbourne Victory	26	28	38.3	-10.3Underperforming −−	4	-3.8	-6.5	3:2 vs Melbourne City (+2.0)	0:1 vs Brisbane Roar (-1.9)