Season races
10,000 simulations · updated 27 OctThe season in numbers
Home wins paid out more than the market charged: +46.7% at market prices across 11 matches. 2 other markets also came out ahead; the rest returned less than they cost.
Perth Glory produced performances worth 2 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 25.4' on average.
Add A-League fixtures to your calendar
Every fixture this season, updated automatically: kick-off changes, postponements, and after each match the score, half-time score and goal minutes.
Where the season is heading
10,000 simulations · updated 27 OctWe simulate the remaining A-League schedule 10,000 times a day. Auckland FC win the 2026-2027 title in 32% of them, projecting ~44 points; Sydney FC are next at 15%. At the other end, Perth Glory finish in the bottom three in 84% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pts now | Proj. pts | Range | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Auckland FC | 3 | 44 | 36–52 | 32% | 75% | 2% |
| 2 |  Sydney FC | 4 | 41 | 33–49 | 15% | 57% | 5% |
| 3 |  Newcastle Jets | 2 | 39 | 31–47 | 11% | 46% | 9% |
| 4 |  Melbourne Victory | 1 | 39 | 30–47 | 10% | 44% | 10% |
| 5 |  Melbourne City | 1 | 38 | 30–47 | 9% | 42% | 11% |
| · · · | |||||||
| 10 |  Central Coast Mariners | 1 | 31 | 23–38 | <1% | 8% | 49% |
| 11 |  Brisbane Roar | 3 | 30 | 22–38 | <1% | 7% | 55% |
| 12 |  Perth Glory | 0 | 24 | 17–32 | <1% | 1% | 84% |
Dixon-Coles model, 10,000 simulations of the 145 remaining scheduled fixtures · tiebreakers points > GD > GF · updated daily.
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<iframe src="https://www.football-charts.com/embed/australia/a-league/projection" width="100%" height="560" style="border:0;border-radius:8px" title="A-League live table — Football Charts" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px"><a href="https://www.football-charts.com/leagues/australia/a-league">A-League stats by Football Charts</a></p>
Market vs results
line = cumulative gap between price and outcomeHow each market's prices compared with what happened in every A-League match. Above zero, the outcome came in more often than the average price implied; most lines sit below — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Wellington Phoenix | 6 | 3.0 | +3.0 | |
| 2 |  WS Wanderers | 4 | 2.7 | +1.3 | |
| 3 |  Macarthur FC | 4 | 2.9 | +1.1 | |
| 4 | Sydney FC | 4 | 3.0 | +1.0 | |
| 5 | Brisbane Roar | 3 | 1.5 | +1.5 | |
| · · · | |||||
| 10 | Melbourne City | 1 | 2.5 | -1.5 | |
| 11 |  Adelaide United | 0 | 1.2 | -1.2 | |
| 12 | Perth Glory | 0 | 2.3 | -2.3 | |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysisGo deeper
Past seasons
completed-season tables, charts & market backtestsStatistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+