Fastest starters
WS Wanderers26%
7 of their 27 goals before 15′ — highest share in the league
Late-goal kings
Melbourne City33%
11 of their 33 goals after 75′ — highest share in the league
🏆
Auckland FC are 2025-2026 champions — 49 pts
Their xPTS said 51.1: a title won even though the market priced them for more points.
2026-2027
next season soon
The season in numbers
The outlier
+22.6uBlindly backing away wins in every match beat the market this season. The other 6 strategies lost — as they usually do.
Most underrated by results
-15.9 ptsWS Wanderers produced performances worth 16 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Fast starts
35%Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 29.2' on average.
Market strategies
flat stake · vs break-even — not betting adviceWhat blindly backing each market in every A-League match would have returned. Losing lines are the norm — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Away wins▲ +22.6u
163 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing away wins in every A-League match in 2025-2026: +22.6 units over 163 flat-stake bets.HT Under 1.5▲ +3.9u
163 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing ht under 1.5 in every A-League match in 2025-2026: +3.9 units over 163 flat-stake bets.Draws▲ +2.8u
163 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing draws in every A-League match in 2025-2026: +2.8 units over 163 flat-stake bets.Under 2.5 goals▲ +1.5u
163 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing under 2.5 goals in every A-League match in 2025-2026: +1.5 units over 163 flat-stake bets.Over 2.5 goals▼ -15.0u
163 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing over 2.5 goals in every A-League match in 2025-2026: -15.0 units over 163 flat-stake bets.Home wins▼ -20.4u
163 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing home wins in every A-League match in 2025-2026: -20.4 units over 163 flat-stake bets.HT Over 1.5▼ -27.7u
163 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing ht over 1.5 in every A-League match in 2025-2026: -27.7 units over 163 flat-stake bets.Final table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Auckland FC | 49 | 51.1 | -2.1 | champions — market expected more |
| 2 |  Newcastle Jets | 49 | 40.2 | +8.8 | outperformed expectations |
| 3 |  Adelaide United | 44 | 37.7 | +6.3 | |
| 4 |  Sydney FC | 43 | 45.3 | -2.3 | |
| 5 |  Melbourne Victory | 40 | 42.9 | -2.9 | |
| · · · | |||||
| 10 |  Perth Glory | 31 | 30.4 | +0.6 | |
| 11 |  Brisbane Roar | 26 | 33.7 | -7.7 | |
| 12 |  WS Wanderers | 21 | 36.9 | -15.9 | underperformed expectations |
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Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysis
Go deeper
1X2 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 2.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 1.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartFirst Goal Time Trackerfull interactive chartTeam Goal Zones Heat Mapfull interactive chartPerformance vs Marketpoints vs xPTSGoals Tablescoring breakdownOdds archive · €296 seasons of open/close odds, every bookmaker
Past seasons
completed-season tables, charts & market backtestsStatistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+