Fastest starters
WS Wanderers26%
7 of their 27 goals before 15′ — highest share in the league
Late-goal kings
Melbourne City33%
11 of their 33 goals after 75′ — highest share in the league
🏆
Auckland FC are 2025-2026 champions — 49 pts
Their xPTS said 51.1: delivered even more than the market priced.
2026-27
next season soon
The season in numbers
The outlier
+225.9uBlindly backing away wins in every match beat the market this season. The other 6 strategies lost — as they usually do.
Most underrated by results
-15.9 ptsWS Wanderers produced performances worth 16 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Fast starts
35%Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 29.2' on average.
Market strategies
flat stake · vs break-even — not betting adviceWhat blindly backing each market in every A-League match would have returned. Losing lines are the norm — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Final table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Auckland FC | 49 | 51.1 | -2.1 | champions — market expected more |
| 2 | Newcastle Jets | 49 | 40.2 | +8.8 | outperformed expectations |
| 3 | Adelaide United |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysisGo deeper
1X2 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 2.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 1.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartFirst Goal Time Trackerfull interactive chartTeam Goal Zones Heat Mapfull interactive chartPerformance vs Marketpoints vs xPTSGoals Tablescoring breakdown
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Statistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+