A-League 2020-2021 Performance vs Market

Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	Central Coast Mariners	26	42	34.6	+7.3Outperforming ++	7	+2.1	+5.2	0:2 vs Sydney FC (+2.2)	0:2 vs Newcastle Jets (-2.0)
2	Adelaide United	26	39	32.9	+6.1Outperforming ++	9	+6.6	-0.5	2:3 vs WS Wanderers (+2.2)	2:1 vs Perth Glory (-1.4)
3	Macarthur FC	26	39	35.0	+4.0Outperforming	5	-2.9	+6.8	0:2 vs Brisbane Roar (+2.1)	0:2 vs Central Coast Mariners (-1.9)
4	Brisbane Roar	26	40	36.1	+3.9Outperforming	3	+0.2	+3.7	0:4 vs Central Coast Mariners (+1.9)	0:2 vs Macarthur FC (-1.8)
5	Wellington Phoenix	26	38	35.1	+2.9Outperforming	4	-1.1	+4.0	0:2 vs Newcastle Jets (+2.0)	1:2 vs Newcastle Jets (-1.6)
6	Sydney FC	26	47	45.8	+1.2On expectation	2	+0.8	+0.4	0:3 vs Macarthur FC (+1.5)	0:2 vs Central Coast Mariners (-2.0)
7	Perth Glory	26	34	33.9	+0.1On expectation	8	+5.1	-4.9	1:3 vs Melbourne City (+2.0)	1:2 vs Central Coast Mariners (-1.5)
8	WS Wanderers	26	35	34.9	+0.1On expectation	6	+1.2	-1.1	3:2 vs Sydney FC (+2.0)	2:3 vs Adelaide United (-1.9)
9	Melbourne City	26	49	48.9	+0.1On expectation	1	+4.6	-4.5	3:2 vs Sydney FC (+1.6)	2:1 vs Western United (-2.1)
10	Western United	26	28	32.3	-4.3Underperforming	11	+3.9	-8.2	2:1 vs Melbourne City (+2.3)	0:1 vs WS Wanderers (-1.5)
11	Melbourne Victory	26	19	26.6	-7.6Underperforming −−	12	-3.9	-3.8	1:2 vs Newcastle Jets (+2.1)	1:3 vs Brisbane Roar (-1.5)
12	Newcastle Jets	26	21	32.8	-11.8Underperforming −−	10	-12.3	+0.6	0:2 vs Central Coast Mariners (+2.3)	1:2 vs Melbourne Victory (-1.9)