Jeonnam vs Ansan Greeners
K League 2, South-Korea · 2026-11-22 · 06:00 CET
WLLDL
LWLLDThe score model makes a Jeonnam win the most likely outcome at 47%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 58%). The data's biggest gap to the market: HT under 1.5 goals — 64.7% vs 60.5% implied (+4.1 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Jeonnam 1.72 – 1.28 Ansan Greeners.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jeonnam win | 47.5% | 49.8% | -2.4% |
| Draw | 24.2% | 24.4% | -0.2% |
| Ansan Greeners win | 28.4% | 25.8% | +2.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.4% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.8% | 58.7% | -0.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35.4% | 38.5% | -3.1% |
| Both teams to score | 59.6% | 60.5% | -0.9% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 71.2% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 35.3% | 39.5% | -4.1% |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: Jeonnam 50.3 / Ansan Greeners 50.2 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Jeonnam vs Ansan Greeners in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.