Anyang vs Incheon
K League 1, South-Korea · 2026-08-26 · 12:30 CET
WWLLL
WWDDDThe score model makes a Anyang win the most likely outcome at 37%, leaning under 2.5 (Over 2.5 at 44%). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Anyang 1.24 – 1.19 Incheon.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anyang win | 36.5% | — | — |
| Draw | 29.5% | — | — |
| Incheon win | 34.0% | — | — |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70.7% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43.7% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22.7% | — | — |
| Both teams to score | 50.4% | — | — |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 62.9% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 27.8% | — | — |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Anyang 33.9 / Incheon 29.7 weighted matches · positive divergence means the data leans above the market — the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.