Seoul vs Bucheon FC 1995
K League 1, South-Korea · 2026-08-25 · 12:30 CET
WLDDW
LDWDWThe score model makes a Seoul win the most likely outcome at 48%, leaning under 2.5 (Over 2.5 at 44%). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Seoul 1.47 – 0.97 Bucheon FC 1995.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seoul win | 47.7% | — | — |
| Draw | 28.3% | — | — |
| Bucheon FC 1995 win | 24.0% | — | — |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70.9% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44.0% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22.9% | — | — |
| Both teams to score | 48.7% | — | — |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 58.8% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 23.6% | — | — |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Seoul 45.4 / Bucheon FC 1995 19.4 weighted matches · positive divergence means the data leans above the market — the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.