Bucheon FC 1995 vs Jeonbuk
K League 1, South-Korea · 2026-08-16 · 12:30 CET
LLDWD
LDWDLThe score model makes an Jeonbuk win the most likely outcome at 45%, leaning under 2.5 (Over 2.5 at 36%). The data's biggest gap to the market: Under 2.5 goals — 64.0% vs 53.2% implied (+10.8 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Bucheon FC 1995 0.86 – 1.28 Jeonbuk.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bucheon FC 1995 win | 24.2% | 21.3% | +2.9% |
| Draw | 30.6% | 26.6% | +4.0% |
| Jeonbuk win | 45.2% | 52.1% | -6.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 63.8% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36.0% | 46.8% | -10.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 16.8% | 26.6% | -9.8% |
| Both teams to score | 42.5% | 49.5% | -7.0% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 58.6% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 23.6% | 32.4% | -8.8% |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Bucheon FC 1995 18.6 / Jeonbuk 44.8 weighted matches · positive divergence means the data leans above the market — the market usually knows why.
Track your pick
My record →Flat 1u, average market odds, settled either way. Not betting advice — a record, like ours.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.