Clyde vs Stirling
League Two, Scotland · 2026-11-21 · 16:00 CET
WWDWW
WDWLWThe score model makes a Clyde win the most likely outcome at 61%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 65%). The data's biggest gap to the market: Under 3.5 goals — 57.1% vs 53.7% implied (+3.5 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Clyde 2.21 – 1.13 Stirling.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Clyde win | 61.3% | 60.3% | +1.0% |
| Draw | 20.8% | 20.9% | -0.0% |
| Stirling win | 17.8% | 18.8% | -0.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.2% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.9% | 66.0% | -1.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42.9% | 46.3% | -3.5% |
| Both teams to score | 60.8% | 61.7% | -0.9% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 79.2% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 46.6% | 45.7% | +0.9% |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: Clyde 47.1 / Stirling 43.8 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Clyde vs Stirling in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.