Podbeskidzie vs Odra Opole
Division 1, Poland · 2026-08-22 · 15:30 CET
LDDDD
LLWLWThe score model makes a Podbeskidzie win the most likely outcome at 37%, leaning under 2.5 (Over 2.5 at 44%). The data's biggest gap to the market: Odra Opole win — 34.2% vs 26.5% implied (+7.7 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Podbeskidzie 1.25 – 1.20 Odra Opole.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Podbeskidzie win | 36.5% | 46.0% | -9.5% |
| Draw | 29.2% | 27.4% | +1.8% |
| Odra Opole win | 34.2% | 26.5% | +7.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71.1% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44.3% | 51.1% | -6.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23.1% | 30.3% | -7.2% |
| Both teams to score | 50.8% | 54.8% | -4.1% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 67.0% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 30.3% | 34.9% | -4.6% |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Podbeskidzie 11.7 / Odra Opole 44.9 weighted matches · positive divergence means the data leans above the market — the market usually knows why.
Track your pick
My record →Flat 1u, average market odds, settled either way. Not betting advice — a record, like ours.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.