AS Roma U20 vs Empoli U20
Primavera 1, Italy · 2026-10-10 · 15:00 CET
WDDWD
DDWWDThe score model made an AS Roma U20 win the most likely outcome at 61%, split on goals (Over 2.5 at 53%). It finished 1:1 — the most likely outcome did not come in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: AS Roma U20 1.90 – 0.88 Empoli U20.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma U20 win | 60.8% | — | — | ✗ |
| Draw | 22.8% | — | — | ✓ |
| Empoli U20 win | 16.5% | — | — | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.0% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.5% | — | — | ✗ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30.3% | — | — | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 50.2% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 73.7% | — | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 41.7% | — | — | — |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: AS Roma U20 39.5 / Empoli U20 16 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.