The season in numbers
Blindly backing over 2.5 goals in every match beat the market this season. The other 6 strategies lost — as they usually do.
Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 34.3' on average.
Upcoming fixtures — data vs market
all leagues →| # | Time | Market | Implied | Odds | + | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monza U20– Lecce U20 | 2026-09-12 | 09:00 | Home win ✓ | 37.0% | 34.2% | ▲ +2.7% | 2.92 |
Where the season is heading
10,000 simulations · updated 11 SeptWe simulate the remaining Primavera 1 schedule 10,000 times a day. AS Roma U20 win the 2026-2027 title in 40% of them, projecting ~71 points; Parma U20 are next at 32%. At the other end, Albinoleffe U20 finish in the bottom three in >99% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pts now | Proj. pts | Range | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Roma U20 | 7 | 71 | 61–80 | 40% | 86% | <1% |
| 2 | Parma U20 | 7 | 69 | 60–79 | 32% | 82% | <1% |
| 3 | Inter U20 | 7 | 63 | 54–73 | 10% | 55% | <1% |
| 4 | Fiorentina U20 | 2 | 60 | 51–70 | 6% | 39% | <1% |
| 5 | AC Milan U20 | 7 | 59 | 49–69 | 3% | 31% | 1% |
| · · · | |||||||
| 18 | Monza U20 | 3 | 45 | 36–55 | <1% | 1% | 29% |
| 19 | Empoli U20 | 5 | 45 | 36–54 | <1% | <1% | 32% |
| 20 | Albinoleffe U20 | 0 | 16 | 9–23 | — | — | >99% |
Dixon-Coles model, 10,000 simulations of the 350 remaining scheduled fixtures · tiebreakers points > GD > GF · updated daily.
</> Embed this table on your site</> Embed this table — free, updates hourly, keep the credit link
<iframe src="https://www.football-charts.com/embed/italy/primavera-1/projection" width="100%" height="560" style="border:0;border-radius:8px" title="Primavera 1 live table — Football Charts" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px"><a href="https://www.football-charts.com/leagues/italy/primavera-1">Primavera 1 stats by Football Charts</a></p>
Market strategies
flat stake · vs break-even — not betting adviceWhat blindly backing each market in every Primavera 1 match would have returned. Losing lines are the norm — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Parma U20 | 7 | 0.0 | +7.0 | |
| 2 | Inter U20 | 7 | 3.0 | +4.0 | |
| 3 | AS Roma U20 | 7 | 3.5 | +3.5 | |
| 4 | AC Milan U20 | 7 | 1.4 | +5.6 | |
| 5 | Lazio U20 | 6 | 1.1 | +4.8 | |
| · · · | |||||
| 18 | Torino U20 | 1 | 2.9 | -1.9 | |
| 19 | Sassuolo U20 | 1 | 2.4 | -1.4 | |
| 20 | Albinoleffe U20 | 0 | 0.8 | -0.8 | |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysis
Parma U207 pts
Inter U207 pts
AS Roma U207 pts
AC Milan U207 pts
Lazio U206 pts
Bologna U206 pts
Cagliari U206 ptsEmpoli U205 pts
Cesena U205 ptsComo U204 pts
Genoa U204 pts
Monza U203 pts
Verona U203 pts
Atalanta U203 pts
Lecce U202 pts
Fiorentina U202 pts
Juventus U202 pts
Torino U201 pts
Sassuolo U201 ptsAlbinoleffe U200 ptsGo deeper
Past seasons
completed-season tables, charts & market backtestsStatistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+
