Season races
10,000 simulations · updated 27 OctThe season in numbers
Draws paid out more than the market charged: +6.1% at market prices across 80 matches. 2 other markets also came out ahead; the rest returned less than they cost.
Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 29.2' on average.
Add Primavera 1 fixtures to your calendar
Every fixture this season, updated automatically: kick-off changes, postponements, and after each match the score, half-time score and goal minutes.
Where the season is heading
10,000 simulations · updated 27 OctWe simulate the remaining Primavera 1 schedule 10,000 times a day. Parma U20 win the 2026-2027 title in 35% of them, projecting ~68 points; Inter U20 are next at 31%. At the other end, Albinoleffe U20 finish in the bottom three in 99% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pts now | Proj. pts | Range | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Parma U20 | 15 | 68 | 59–77 | 35% | 85% | <1% |
| 2 | Inter U20 | 18 | 68 | 59–77 | 31% | 83% | <1% |
| 3 | AS Roma U20 | 13 | 66 | 56–74 | 20% | 73% | <1% |
| 4 | Bologna U20 | 15 | 59 | 50–68 | 5% | 37% | <1% |
| 5 | Fiorentina U20 | 10 | 59 | 50–68 | 5% | 39% | <1% |
| · · · | |||||||
| 18 | Verona U20 | 8 | 46 | 37–54 | <1% | 1% | 26% |
| 19 | Monza U20 | 6 | 42 | 33–50 | — | <1% | 47% |
| 20 | Albinoleffe U20 | 5 | 27 | 19–34 | — | — | 99% |
Dixon-Coles model, 10,000 simulations of the 300 remaining scheduled fixtures · tiebreakers points > GD > GF · updated daily.
</> Embed this table on your site</> Embed this table — free, updates hourly, keep the credit link
<iframe src="https://www.football-charts.com/embed/italy/primavera-1/projection" width="100%" height="560" style="border:0;border-radius:8px" title="Primavera 1 live table — Football Charts" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px"><a href="https://www.football-charts.com/leagues/italy/primavera-1">Primavera 1 stats by Football Charts</a></p>
Market vs results
line = cumulative gap between price and outcomeHow each market's prices compared with what happened in every Primavera 1 match. Above zero, the outcome came in more often than the average price implied; most lines sit below — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter U20 | 18 | 6.3 | +11.7 | outperformed expectations |
| 2 | Parma U20 | 15 | 5.7 | +9.3 | outperformed expectations |
| 3 | Bologna U20 | 15 | 5.4 | +9.6 | outperformed expectations |
| 4 | Empoli U20 | 15 | 3.1 | +11.9 | outperformed expectations |
| 5 | AS Roma U20 | 13 | 8.7 | +4.3 | |
| · · · | |||||
| 18 | Atalanta U20 | 7 | 8.3 | -1.3 | |
| 19 | Monza U20 | 6 | 4.7 | +1.3 | |
| 20 | Albinoleffe U20 | 5 | 3.9 | +1.1 | |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysis
Inter U2018 pts
Parma U2015 pts
Bologna U2015 ptsEmpoli U2015 pts
AS Roma U2013 pts
Genoa U2012 pts
Lazio U2012 pts
Cagliari U2011 pts
Fiorentina U2010 pts
Lecce U2010 pts
Cesena U2010 pts
AC Milan U2010 ptsComo U209 pts
Torino U209 pts
Sassuolo U209 pts
Juventus U209 pts
Verona U208 pts
Atalanta U207 pts
Monza U206 ptsAlbinoleffe U205 ptsGo deeper
Past seasons
completed-season tables, charts & market backtestsStatistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+
