Primavera 1 2022-2023 Performance vs Market

Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	Torino U19	34	63	50.4	+12.6Outperforming ++	7	+10.0	+2.6	2:3 vs Fiorentina U19 (+1.9)	2:1 vs Udinese U19 (-1.7)
2	Lecce U19	34	65	53.2	+11.8Outperforming ++	5	+7.3	+4.5	2:3 vs Sassuolo U19 (+1.9)	0:1 vs Bologna U19 (-1.7)
3	Fiorentina U19	34	63	56.0	+7.0Outperforming ++	3	+4.4	+2.6	1:5 vs Juventus U19 (+1.8)	0:1 vs Sampdoria U19 (-1.9)
4	Verona U19	34	44	38.6	+5.4Outperforming ++	15	+5.5	-0.1	5:2 vs AS Roma U19 (+2.3)	1:5 vs Sampdoria U19 (-1.4)
5	Empoli U19	34	49	43.9	+5.1Outperforming ++	14	+10.1	-5.0	0:1 vs AC Milan U19 (+2.1)	2:5 vs Juventus U19 (-1.4)
6	Bologna U19	34	49	44.6	+4.4Outperforming	12	-0.4	+4.8	0:2 vs AS Roma U19 (+2.3)	0:1 vs Napoli U19 (-1.8)
7	Inter U19	34	55	52.3	+2.8Outperforming	6	+2.6	+0.2	0:1 vs Fiorentina U19 (+1.9)	2:1 vs Bologna U19 (-1.8)
8	Sassuolo U19	34	57	54.4	+2.6Outperforming	4	+6.2	-3.7	1:4 vs AS Roma U19 (+2.1)	4:0 vs Verona U19 (-1.9)
9	Sampdoria U19	34	47	46.6	+0.4On expectation	10	+2.6	-2.1	0:1 vs Fiorentina U19 (+2.1)	0:1 vs Udinese U19 (-1.9)
10	Frosinone U19	34	47	46.7	+0.3On expectation	9	-8.3	+8.6	3:5 vs AC Milan U19 (+2.5)	2:3 vs Cesena U19 (-2.4)
11	Cagliari U19	34	44	44.4	-0.4On expectation	13	+1.5	-1.9	2:1 vs AS Roma U19 (+2.0)	1:3 vs Bologna U19 (-1.5)
12	Juventus U19	34	56	57.4	-1.4On expectation	2	+3.2	-4.6	3:0 vs Sassuolo U19 (+1.6)	2:1 vs Napoli U19 (-1.9)
13	AC Milan U19	34	45	48.1	-3.1Underperforming	8	-0.1	-3.0	3:1 vs Lecce U19 (+1.7)	3:5 vs Frosinone U19 (-2.4)
14	Napoli U19	34	32	35.1	-3.1Underperforming	16	-0.0	-3.1	2:1 vs Juventus U19 (+2.1)	1:3 vs Verona U19 (-1.5)
15	Atalanta U19	34	42	46.1	-4.1Underperforming	11	-1.4	-2.7	2:3 vs Fiorentina U19 (+2.1)	1:2 vs Verona U19 (-1.8)
16	AS Roma U19	34	55	62.5	-7.5Underperforming −−	1	+0.5	-8.0	2:1 vs Fiorentina U19 (+1.6)	0:2 vs Bologna U19 (-2.1)
17	Udinese U19	34	19	33.0	-14.0Underperforming −−	17	-9.1	-4.9	0:2 vs Frosinone U19 (+2.2)	1:0 vs Napoli U19 (-1.4)
18	Cesena U19	34	11	29.6	-18.6Underperforming −−	18	-8.7	-9.9	2:3 vs Frosinone U19 (+2.6)	1:2 vs Udinese U19 (-1.5)