East Bengal vs SC Delhi
ISL, India · 2026-11-20 · 12:30 CET
DWWWL
LLDWWThe score model makes an East Bengal win the most likely outcome at 57%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 69%). The data's biggest gap to the market: Both teams to score — 66.8% vs 54.1% implied (+12.8 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: East Bengal 2.24 – 1.30 SC Delhi.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| East Bengal win | 56.9% | 67.4% | -10.5% |
| Draw | 23.3% | 18.4% | +4.9% |
| SC Delhi win | 19.8% | 14.2% | +5.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88.6% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.8% | 61.9% | +6.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 47.3% | 41.6% | +5.8% |
| Both teams to score | 66.8% | 54.1% | +12.8% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 80.1% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 48.0% | 41.9% | +6.1% |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: East Bengal 21.9 / SC Delhi 13.4 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open East Bengal vs SC Delhi in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.