Drochtersen/Assel vs VfB Oldenburg
Regionalliga North, Germany · 2026-11-13 · 19:30 CET
WLWDD
WWWDWThe score model makes a Drochtersen/Assel win the most likely outcome at 47%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 63%). The data's biggest gap to the market: Over 2.5 goals — 63.3% vs 60.1% implied (+3.2 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Drochtersen/Assel 1.84 – 1.43 VfB Oldenburg.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Drochtersen/Assel win | 46.5% | 43.7% | +2.9% |
| Draw | 24.3% | 26.5% | -2.2% |
| VfB Oldenburg win | 29.2% | 29.8% | -0.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.5% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.3% | 60.1% | +3.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 41.1% | 40.2% | +0.9% |
| Both teams to score | 64.7% | 63.0% | +1.6% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 77.2% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 43.5% | 42.0% | +1.5% |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: Drochtersen/Assel 49 / VfB Oldenburg 46.9 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Drochtersen/Assel vs VfB Oldenburg in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.