Jeddeloh vs Hannover II
Regionalliga North, Germany · 2026-08-26 · 19:00 CET
LWWLL
WLDWWThe score model made a Hannover II win the most likely outcome at 46%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 65%). It finished 2:2 (HT 1:1) — the most likely outcome did not come in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Jeddeloh 1.48 – 1.86 Hannover II.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeddeloh win | 30.2% | 28.3% | +1.8% | ✗ |
| Draw | 23.7% | 23.0% | +0.7% | ✓ |
| Hannover II win | 46.2% | 48.6% | -2.5% | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.2% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.8% | 68.5% | -3.7% | ✓ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42.8% | 49.5% | -6.7% | ✓ |
| Both teams to score | 65.8% | 68.4% | -2.6% | ✓ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 78.6% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 45.6% | 47.6% | -2.0% | ✓ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Jeddeloh 44.4 / Hannover II 33 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.