Bremer vs Hannoverscher SC
Regionalliga North, Germany · 2026-08-16 · 15:00 CET
LWLLL
LDDLLThe score model made a Bremer win the most likely outcome at 59%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 67%). It finished 0:1 (HT 0:0) — the most likely outcome did not come in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Bremer 2.22 – 1.22 Hannoverscher SC.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bremer win | 59.4% | 42.2% | +17.2% | ✗ |
| Draw | 21.3% | 26.6% | -5.3% | ✗ |
| Hannoverscher SC win | 19.3% | 31.2% | -11.8% | ✓ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86.6% | — | — | ✗ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.9% | 58.9% | +8.0% | ✗ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 45.2% | 38.8% | +6.3% | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 63.6% | 62.1% | +1.5% | ✗ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 77.1% | — | — | ✗ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 43.8% | 40.7% | +3.1% | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Bremer 44 / Hannoverscher SC 25.1 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.