FC Halifax vs Woking
National League, England · 2026-11-21 · 16:00 CET
WDLWD
WLWLWThe score model makes an FC Halifax win the most likely outcome at 42%, split on goals (Over 2.5 at 49%). The data's biggest gap to the market: Under 3.5 goals — 72.6% vs 65.2% implied (+7.4 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: FC Halifax 1.44 – 1.21 Woking.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Halifax win | 42.3% | 44.2% | -1.9% |
| Draw | 25.9% | 26.2% | -0.3% |
| Woking win | 31.8% | 29.5% | +2.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74.1% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49.3% | 54.9% | -5.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27.4% | 34.8% | -7.4% |
| Both teams to score | 53.5% | 58.3% | -4.9% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 67.6% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 31.0% | 37.8% | -6.7% |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: FC Halifax 60.7 / Woking 59.8 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open FC Halifax vs Woking in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.