Slavia Prague B vs Vlasim
ChNL, Czech-Republic · 2026-10-09 · 17:00 CET
LLWDL
WWLWLThe score model made a Slavia Prague B win the most likely outcome at 39%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 59%). It finished 0:2 (HT 0:1) — the most likely outcome did not come in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Slavia Prague B 1.56 – 1.51 Vlasim.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slavia Prague B win | 39.3% | 42.3% | -3.0% | ✗ |
| Draw | 23.7% | 25.0% | -1.3% | ✗ |
| Vlasim win | 37.0% | 32.7% | +4.4% | ✓ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.0% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.2% | 66.9% | -7.7% | ✗ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36.8% | 47.8% | -11.0% | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 61.4% | 68.4% | -7.0% | ✗ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 74.2% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 38.8% | 46.3% | -7.5% | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Slavia Prague B 36.3 / Vlasim 40.6 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Slavia Prague B vs Vlasim in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.