Slavia Prague B vs Opava
ChNL, Czech-Republic · 2026-08-30 · 10:15 CET
WDDLL
DDLDWThe score model made a Slavia Prague B win the most likely outcome at 45%, split on goals (Over 2.5 at 49%). It finished 3:3 (HT 2:2) — the most likely outcome did not come in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Slavia Prague B 1.48 – 1.16 Opava.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slavia Prague B win | 44.9% | 47.4% | -2.5% | ✗ |
| Draw | 24.9% | 25.8% | -0.9% | ✓ |
| Opava win | 30.2% | 26.8% | +3.4% | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73.6% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49.1% | 58.2% | -9.0% | ✓ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27.3% | 37.4% | -10.1% | ✓ |
| Both teams to score | 52.6% | 60.2% | -7.6% | ✓ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 73.3% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 37.5% | 39.7% | -2.3% | ✓ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Slavia Prague B 35.4 / Opava 40.3 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.