Taborsko vs Opava
ChNL, Czech-Republic · 2026-08-15 · 18:00 CET
WLDDW
LDWLDThe score model makes a Taborsko win the most likely outcome at 49%, leaning under 2.5 (Over 2.5 at 37%). The data's biggest gap to the market: Under 2.5 goals — 63.2% vs 49.1% implied (+14.2 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Taborsko 1.33 – 0.84 Opava.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Taborsko win | 48.6% | 42.6% | +6.0% |
| Draw | 27.5% | 28.0% | -0.5% |
| Opava win | 24.0% | 29.4% | -5.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 63.3% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36.8% | 50.9% | -14.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17.4% | 30.7% | -13.4% |
| Both teams to score | 41.3% | 55.2% | -14.0% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 69.4% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 32.9% | 34.5% | -1.6% |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Taborsko 39.5 / Opava 39.8 weighted matches · positive divergence means the data leans above the market — the market usually knows why.
Track your pick
My record →Flat 1u, average market odds, settled either way. Not betting advice — a record, like ours.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.