Sigma Olomouc vs Slavia Prague
Chance Liga, Czech-Republic · 2026-11-21 · 15:00 CET
DWDWL
WDDWWThe score model makes a Slavia Prague win the most likely outcome at 62%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 57%). The data's biggest gap to the market: Slavia Prague win — 62.5% vs 52.3% implied (+10.2 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Sigma Olomouc 0.92 – 2.05 Slavia Prague.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sigma Olomouc win | 15.2% | 22.7% | -7.6% |
| Draw | 22.4% | 25.0% | -2.6% |
| Slavia Prague win | 62.5% | 52.3% | +10.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.6% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.1% | 56.4% | +0.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34.7% | 35.5% | -0.8% |
| Both teams to score | 53.5% | 57.9% | -4.4% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 74.4% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 39.6% | 38.2% | +1.3% |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: Sigma Olomouc 43.1 / Slavia Prague 44.5 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Sigma Olomouc vs Slavia Prague in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.