Artis Brno vs Jablonec
Chance Liga, Czech-Republic · 2026-11-21 · 15:00 CET
WDDLL
WLWLDThe score model makes a Jablonec win the most likely outcome at 54%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 59%). The data's biggest gap to the market: Jablonec win — 54.2% vs 46.8% implied (+7.4 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Artis Brno 1.15 – 1.91 Jablonec.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Artis Brno win | 21.6% | 26.9% | -5.3% |
| Draw | 24.2% | 26.3% | -2.1% |
| Jablonec win | 54.2% | 46.8% | +7.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.0% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.0% | 55.8% | +3.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36.6% | 34.9% | +1.8% |
| Both teams to score | 59.2% | 58.9% | +0.3% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 73.7% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 38.6% | 38.1% | +0.6% |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: Artis Brno 12.5 / Jablonec 44.5 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Artis Brno vs Jablonec in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.