Zlin vs Slavia Prague
Chance Liga, Czech-Republic · 2026-10-09 · 18:00 CET
LLDDL
WDDWWThe score model made a Slavia Prague win the most likely outcome at 77%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 67%). It finished 0:1 (HT 0:1) — the most likely outcome came in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Zlin 0.78 – 2.67 Slavia Prague.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zlin win | 7.8% | 9.2% | -1.5% | ✗ |
| Draw | 15.3% | 17.0% | -1.7% | ✗ |
| Slavia Prague win | 76.9% | 73.8% | +3.1% | ✓ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86.5% | — | — | ✗ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.9% | 59.1% | +7.8% | ✗ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 45.2% | 37.9% | +7.3% | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 50.9% | 46.1% | +4.7% | ✗ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 79.4% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 45.5% | 40.3% | +5.2% | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Zlin 34.5 / Slavia Prague 42.9 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Zlin vs Slavia Prague in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.