Teplice B vs Hradec Kralove B
3. CFL - Group B, Czech-Republic · 2026-11-15 · 10:15 CET
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LLWLWThe score model makes a Hradec Kralove B win the most likely outcome at 41%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 57%). The data's biggest gap to the market: Hradec Kralove B win — 40.8% vs 28.5% implied (+12.3 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Teplice B 1.40 – 1.57 Hradec Kralove B.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Teplice B win | 33.4% | 46.9% | -13.5% |
| Draw | 25.9% | 24.7% | +1.2% |
| Hradec Kralove B win | 40.8% | 28.5% | +12.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.4% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.0% | 60.0% | -3.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34.6% | 39.3% | -4.7% |
| Both teams to score | 60.4% | 61.4% | -1.0% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 74.1% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 39.1% | 41.9% | -2.8% |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: Teplice B 45.7 / Hradec Kralove B 45.6 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Teplice B vs Hradec Kralove B in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.