Velke Hamry vs Mlada Boleslav B
3. CFL - Group B, Czech-Republic · 2026-08-29 · 10:30 CET
DLLLL
LWWWLThe score model makes an Mlada Boleslav B win the most likely outcome at 44%, leaning to goals (Over 2.5 at 56%). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Velke Hamry 1.31 – 1.62 Mlada Boleslav B.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Velke Hamry win | 30.5% | — | — |
| Draw | 25.1% | — | — |
| Mlada Boleslav B win | 44.4% | — | — |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.4% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.1% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33.7% | — | — |
| Both teams to score | 59.0% | — | — |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 71.4% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 33.2% | — | — |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Velke Hamry 24.4 / Mlada Boleslav B 42.2 weighted matches · positive divergence means the data leans above the market — the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.