Admira Prague vs Slavia Prague U20
3. CFL - Group A, Czech-Republic · 2026-11-15 · 10:15 CET
WWLLL
WLLLDThe score model makes a Slavia Prague U20 win the most likely outcome at 39%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 61%). The data's biggest gap to the market: Under 3.5 goals — 61.3% vs 55.9% implied (+5.4 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Admira Prague 1.53 – 1.62 Slavia Prague U20.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Admira Prague win | 35.2% | 41.5% | -6.3% |
| Draw | 25.5% | 24.5% | +1.0% |
| Slavia Prague U20 win | 39.3% | 34.1% | +5.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.2% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.0% | 64.8% | -3.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38.7% | 44.1% | -5.4% |
| Both teams to score | 63.8% | 65.7% | -1.9% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 74.4% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 39.6% | 44.9% | -5.3% |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: Admira Prague 45.1 / Slavia Prague U20 30 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Admira Prague vs Slavia Prague U20 in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.