Pribram B vs Motorlet Prague
3. CFL - Group A, Czech-Republic · 2026-11-14 · 14:00 CET
DWLDL
LDWLWThe score model makes a Motorlet Prague win the most likely outcome at 37%, split on goals (Over 2.5 at 50%). The data's biggest gap to the market: Under 3.5 goals — 71.9% vs 58.5% implied (+13.4 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Pribram B 1.32 – 1.36 Motorlet Prague.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pribram B win | 34.9% | 30.5% | +4.4% |
| Draw | 28.1% | 23.0% | +5.2% |
| Motorlet Prague win | 37.0% | 46.5% | -9.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.8% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.1% | 62.8% | -12.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28.1% | 41.5% | -13.4% |
| Both teams to score | 55.5% | 63.8% | -8.3% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 70.2% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 34.2% | 43.4% | -9.2% |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: Pribram B 30.9 / Motorlet Prague 45.9 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Pribram B vs Motorlet Prague in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.