Pisek vs Motorlet Prague
3. CFL - Group A, Czech-Republic · 2026-08-30 · 17:00 CET
LWWDL
LDWLDThe score model makes a Pisek win the most likely outcome at 42%, leaning under 2.5 (Over 2.5 at 43%). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Pisek 1.32 – 1.07 Motorlet Prague.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pisek win | 41.9% | — | — |
| Draw | 28.1% | — | — |
| Motorlet Prague win | 30.0% | — | — |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69.1% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42.6% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21.8% | — | — |
| Both teams to score | 48.4% | — | — |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 67.9% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 34.2% | — | — |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Pisek 41.4 / Motorlet Prague 41.5 weighted matches · positive divergence means the data leans above the market — the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.