Aritma Prague vs Kraluv Dvur
3. CFL - Group A, Czech-Republic · 2026-08-29 · 10:15 CET
WDDDD
WWDWWThe score model makes a Aritma Prague win the most likely outcome at 42%, leaning to goals (Over 2.5 at 59%). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Aritma Prague 1.63 – 1.43 Kraluv Dvur.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aritma Prague win | 42.2% | — | — |
| Draw | 24.4% | — | — |
| Kraluv Dvur win | 33.4% | — | — |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.3% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.1% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36.7% | — | — |
| Both teams to score | 61.5% | — | — |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 72.5% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 40.3% | — | — |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Aritma Prague 24.1 / Kraluv Dvur 31.3 weighted matches · positive divergence means the data leans above the market — the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.