RAAL La Louviere vs Club Brugge KV
Jupiler Pro League, Belgium · 2026-10-10 · 18:15 CET
LDLWL
WLWWWThe score model makes a Club Brugge KV win the most likely outcome at 68%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 61%). The data's biggest gap to the market: Under 3.5 goals — 61.3% vs 57.4% implied (+3.9 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: RAAL La Louviere 0.89 – 2.26 Club Brugge KV.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| RAAL La Louviere win | 12.8% | 13.5% | -0.7% |
| Draw | 19.5% | 19.2% | +0.3% |
| Club Brugge KV win | 67.8% | 67.3% | +0.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.8% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.0% | 63.4% | -2.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38.6% | 42.6% | -3.9% |
| Both teams to score | 53.4% | 55.3% | -1.9% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 75.1% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 40.0% | 43.2% | -3.2% |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: RAAL La Louviere 27.5 / Club Brugge KV 44.8 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.