St. Polten vs ASK Voitsberg
2. Liga, Austria · 2026-11-20 · 18:30 CET
LDDWD
LLWLWThe score model makes a St. Polten win the most likely outcome at 52%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 58%). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: St. Polten 1.83 – 1.19 ASK Voitsberg.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. Polten win | 52.3% | — | — |
| Draw | 22.9% | — | — |
| ASK Voitsberg win | 24.8% | — | — |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.3% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.0% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35.6% | — | — |
| Both teams to score | 58.4% | — | — |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 73.3% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 38.0% | — | — |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: St. Polten 40.3 / ASK Voitsberg 19.2 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open St. Polten vs ASK Voitsberg in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.