Season races
10,000 simulations · updated 8 OctThe season in numbers
HT Under 1.5 paid out more than the market charged: +0.2% at market prices across 26 matches. The other 6 markets returned less than they cost — the bookmaker margin at work.
ASO Chlef produced performances worth 2 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 41.3' on average.
Add Ligue 1 fixtures to your calendar
Every fixture this season, updated automatically: kick-off changes, postponements, and after each match the score, half-time score and goal minutes.
Where the season is heading
10,000 simulations · updated 8 OctWe simulate the remaining Ligue 1 schedule 10,000 times a day. CR Belouizdad win the 2026-2027 title in 47% of them, projecting ~56 points; MC Alger are next at 37%. At the other end, Biskra finish in the bottom three in 88% of simulations. Biggest move after the latest results: MC Alger's title chance down 2 points in a day.
| # | Team | Pts now | Proj. pts | Range | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CR Belouizdad | 11 | 56 | 48–64 | ▲47% | 93% | <1% |
| 2 |  MC Alger | 3 | 55 | 47–63 | ▼37% | 89% | <1% |
| 3 |  Kabylie | 3 | 45 | 37–54 | 4% | 40% | 3% |
| 4 |  USM Alger | 7 | 45 | 37–53 | 3% | 36% | 3% |
| 5 |  Constantine | 8 | 45 | 36–53 | ▲3% | 35% | 3% |
| · · · | |||||||
| 14 |  Khenchela | 2 | 35 | 27–43 | <1% | 3% | 35% |
| 15 |  ASO Chlef | 2 | 34 | 26–42 | <1% | 2% | 43% |
| 16 | Biskra | 2 | 26 | 19–33 | — | <1% | 88% |
Dixon-Coles model, 10,000 simulations of the 216 remaining scheduled fixtures · tiebreakers points > GD > GF · updated daily.
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<iframe src="https://www.football-charts.com/embed/algeria/ligue-1/projection" width="100%" height="560" style="border:0;border-radius:8px" title="Ligue 1 live table — Football Charts" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px"><a href="https://www.football-charts.com/leagues/algeria/ligue-1">Ligue 1 stats by Football Charts</a></p>
Market vs results
line = cumulative gap between price and outcomeHow each market's prices compared with what happened in every Ligue 1 match. Above zero, the outcome came in more often than the average price implied; most lines sit below — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Belouizdad | 11 | 9.2 | +1.8 | |
| 2 | Constantine | 8 | 7.9 | +0.1 | |
| 3 | USM Alger | 7 | 4.5 | +2.5 | |
| 4 |  Oran | 6 | 3.3 | +2.7 | |
| 5 |  Ben Aknoun | 6 | 5.2 | +0.8 | |
| · · · | |||||
| 14 | ASO Chlef | 2 | 4.2 | -2.2 | |
| 15 | Biskra | 2 | 4.2 | -2.2 | |
| 16 |  Saoura | 1 | 2.5 | -1.5 | |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysis
Go deeper
Past seasons
completed-season tables, charts & market backtestsStatistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+