Ligue 1 2023-2024 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | MC Alger | 30 | 65 | 56.0 | +9.0Outperforming ++ | 1 | +8.2 | +0.8 | 0:1 vs ASO Chlef (+1.8) | 2:1 vs Constantine (-1.5) |
2 | Constantine | 30 | 53 | 46.3 | +6.7Outperforming ++ | 4 | -1.4 | +8.1 | 1:2 vs USM Alger (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Magra (-2.3) |
3 | ES Setif | 30 | 48 | 42.7 | +5.3Outperforming ++ | 8 | +5.3 | +0.1 | 0:1 vs Kabylie (+2.2) | 1:3 vs CR Belouizdad (-1.5) |
4 | Magra | 30 | 38 | 33.1 | +4.9Outperforming | 14 | -0.7 | +5.6 | 0:1 vs Constantine (+2.5) | 2:3 vs Constantine (-1.5) |
5 | USM Alger | 30 | 49 | 46.4 | +2.6Outperforming | 3 | +2.7 | -0.2 | 0:1 vs CR Belouizdad (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Constantine (-1.9) |
6 | Paradou | 30 | 42 | 40.9 | +1.1On expectation | 10 | -2.4 | +3.5 | 1:5 vs USM Alger (+2.1) | 2:3 vs ASO Chlef (-1.7) |
7 | Biskra | 30 | 36 | 35.0 | +1.0On expectation | 13 | +1.2 | -0.2 | 0:1 vs Khenchela (+2.6) | 0:1 vs Magra (-2.0) |
8 | Ben Aknoun | 30 | 32 | 31.7 | +0.3On expectation | 15 | -0.9 | +1.1 | 0:2 vs USM Alger (+2.1) | 0:1 vs US Souf (-1.8) |
9 | El Bayadh | 30 | 38 | 37.9 | +0.1On expectation | 12 | +4.5 | -4.4 | 2:1 vs CR Belouizdad (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Magra (-2.0) |
10 | CR Belouizdad | 30 | 53 | 54.5 | -1.5On expectation | 2 | -0.3 | -1.3 | 1:3 vs ES Setif (+1.8) | 2:3 vs Khenchela (-2.2) |
11 | Kabylie | 30 | 42 | 43.8 | -1.8On expectation | 5 | -3.6 | +1.8 | 1:3 vs Oran (+1.8) | 0:1 vs ES Setif (-1.9) |
12 | ASO Chlef | 30 | 41 | 43.1 | -2.1Underperforming | 6 | -0.2 | -1.9 | 0:1 vs CR Belouizdad (+2.3) | 0:1 vs USM Alger (-1.8) |
13 | Oran | 30 | 36 | 38.5 | -2.5Underperforming | 11 | +0.7 | -3.3 | 0:1 vs El Bayadh (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Biskra (-1.8) |
14 | Khenchela | 30 | 39 | 41.6 | -2.6Underperforming | 9 | +0.6 | -3.2 | 2:3 vs CR Belouizdad (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Biskra (-2.4) |
15 | Saoura | 30 | 40 | 43.1 | -3.1Underperforming | 7 | -0.7 | -2.3 | 0:1 vs El Bayadh (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Khenchela (-2.1) |
16 | US Souf | 30 | 7 | 20.8 | -13.8Underperforming −− | 16 | -10.5 | -3.3 | 0:1 vs Ben Aknoun (+2.1) | 0:3 vs Ben Aknoun (-1.4) |
