Ligue 1 2024-2025 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Kabylie | 30 | 56 | 47.2 | +8.8Outperforming ++ | 4 | +2.2 | +6.6 | 0:1 vs USM Alger (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Saoura (-2.2) |
2 | Paradou | 30 | 41 | 36.1 | +4.9Outperforming | 12 | +1.4 | +3.5 | 1:2 vs ES Setif (+2.2) | 1:3 vs Olympique Akbou (-1.7) |
3 | Saoura | 30 | 43 | 38.3 | +4.7Outperforming | 9 | +6.3 | -1.6 | 1:2 vs Kabylie (+2.4) | 1:3 vs CR Belouizdad (-1.2) |
4 | El Bayadh | 30 | 36 | 32.4 | +3.6Outperforming | 15 | -0.9 | +4.5 | 2:3 vs CR Belouizdad (+2.6) | 0:1 vs Biskra (-2.0) |
5 | MC Alger | 30 | 58 | 55.9 | +2.1Outperforming | 1 | -4.6 | +6.7 | 0:3 vs USM Alger (+1.9) | 1:3 vs CR Belouizdad (-1.8) |
6 | Khenchela | 30 | 40 | 38.4 | +1.6On expectation | 8 | +1.6 | +0.0 | 0:1 vs ES Setif (+2.2) | 1:3 vs Saoura (-1.8) |
7 | CR Belouizdad | 30 | 55 | 53.7 | +1.3On expectation | 2 | -0.4 | +1.7 | 1:3 vs MC Alger (+2.1) | 2:3 vs El Bayadh (-2.4) |
8 | ES Setif | 30 | 41 | 41.3 | -0.3On expectation | 5 | +0.3 | -0.6 | 0:1 vs Olympique Akbou (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Khenchela (-1.9) |
9 | Olympique Akbou | 30 | 37 | 38.0 | -1.0On expectation | 10 | -2.6 | +1.6 | 0:1 vs El Bayadh (+2.3) | 0:1 vs El Bayadh (-2.1) |
10 | Oran | 30 | 40 | 41.2 | -1.2On expectation | 6 | +8.2 | -9.4 | 2:0 vs Kabylie (+1.4) | 1:2 vs CR Belouizdad (-1.4) |
11 | Constantine | 30 | 39 | 40.6 | -1.6On expectation | 7 | -1.3 | -0.3 | 0:2 vs CR Belouizdad (+2.2) | 0:1 vs El Bayadh (-2.1) |
12 | Mostaganem | 30 | 34 | 36.1 | -2.1Underperforming | 13 | +0.9 | -3.0 | 1:2 vs Olympique Akbou (+2.2) | 0:1 vs USM Alger (-1.3) |
13 | ASO Chlef | 30 | 34 | 37.0 | -3.0Underperforming | 11 | -2.1 | -0.9 | 1:2 vs USM Alger (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Saoura (-1.9) |
14 | Magra | 30 | 31 | 34.7 | -3.7Underperforming | 14 | +2.8 | -6.5 | 1:0 vs CR Belouizdad (+2.1) | 1:3 vs Kabylie (-1.4) |
15 | USM Alger | 30 | 40 | 49.3 | -9.3Underperforming −− | 3 | -0.1 | -9.2 | 0:1 vs Mostaganem (+1.7) | 1:2 vs ASO Chlef (-1.8) |
16 | Biskra | 30 | 20 | 30.3 | -10.3Underperforming −− | 16 | -8.8 | -1.5 | 0:1 vs El Bayadh (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Olympique Akbou (-1.8) |
