Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025-2026 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Alaves B | 34 | 62 | 50.2 | +11.8Outperforming ++ | 4 | +1.9 | +9.9 | 1:2 vs Tudelano (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Naxara (-2.0) |
2 | R. Union | 34 | 69 | 59.5 | +9.5Outperforming ++ | 2 | +1.4 | +8.1 | 1:2 vs Sestao (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Basconia (-2.2) |
3 | Utebo FC | 34 | 58 | 48.7 | +9.3Outperforming ++ | 7 | +4.7 | +4.7 | 0:1 vs Gernika (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Alaves B (-1.6) |
4 | Tudelano | 34 | 57 | 49.7 | +7.3Outperforming ++ | 6 | +1.9 | +5.4 | 0:1 vs SD Logrones (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Basconia (-2.0) |
5 | Naxara | 34 | 41 | 37.4 | +3.6Outperforming | 16 | +0.9 | +2.7 | 1:2 vs Alaves B (+2.3) | 2:1 vs Alfaro (-1.9) |
6 | Amorebieta | 34 | 50 | 46.6 | +3.4Outperforming | 9 | -1.4 | +4.8 | 1:2 vs Sestao (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Mutilvera (-2.0) |
7 | Basconia | 34 | 47 | 44.2 | +2.8Outperforming | 11 | +2.1 | +0.7 | 1:2 vs R. Union (+2.4) | 3:0 vs Naxara (-1.6) |
8 | Ebro | 34 | 49 | 46.6 | +2.4Outperforming | 10 | +0.3 | +2.1 | 1:2 vs Eibar B (+2.0) | 0:3 vs UD Logrones (-1.5) |
9 | Gernika | 34 | 45 | 43.2 | +1.8On expectation | 12 | +2.4 | -0.7 | 0:1 vs Alaves B (+2.1) | 2:0 vs Mutilvera (-1.7) |
10 | Eibar B | 34 | 49 | 47.8 | +1.2On expectation | 8 | +0.8 | +0.4 | 0:1 vs UD Logrones (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Mutilvera (-2.1) |
11 | UD Logrones | 34 | 61 | 63.5 | -2.5Underperforming | 1 | +2.3 | -4.7 | 0:3 vs Ebro (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Alfaro (-2.5) |
12 | Mutilvera | 34 | 30 | 32.5 | -2.5Underperforming | 17 | -4.3 | +1.8 | 1:2 vs Eibar B (+2.3) | 1:3 vs Naxara (-1.6) |
13 | Ejea | 34 | 35 | 41.2 | -6.2Underperforming −− | 14 | -1.5 | -4.7 | 2:3 vs Beasain (+1.9) | 1:0 vs Zaragoza B (-1.5) |
14 | Beasain | 34 | 36 | 42.5 | -6.5Underperforming −− | 13 | -3.5 | -2.9 | 0:1 vs Eibar B (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Naxara (-1.9) |
15 | Alfaro | 34 | 25 | 31.9 | -6.9Underperforming −− | 18 | -0.6 | -6.3 | 0:1 vs UD Logrones (+2.7) | 0:1 vs Ejea (-1.4) |
16 | Sestao | 34 | 50 | 58.1 | -8.1Underperforming −− | 3 | -3.6 | -4.5 | 0:2 vs R. Union (+1.8) | 3:1 vs Basconia (-1.9) |
17 | Zaragoza B | 34 | 28 | 38.7 | -10.7Underperforming −− | 15 | -2.3 | -8.3 | 3:1 vs R. Union (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Beasain (-1.5) |
18 | SD Logrones | 34 | 37 | 50.1 | -13.1Underperforming −− | 5 | -7.0 | -6.1 | 0:1 vs Alaves B (+1.6) | 0:1 vs Tudelano (-2.2) |
