Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2023-2024 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Ath Bilbao B | 34 | 82 | 65.3 | +16.7Outperforming ++ | 2 | +10.1 | +6.6 | 0:2 vs Alaves B (+1.8) | 1:0 vs AD San Juan (-2.1) |
2 | Barakaldo | 34 | 76 | 61.8 | +14.2Outperforming ++ | 3 | +5.5 | +8.7 | 1:2 vs Alaves B (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Ath Bilbao B (-1.5) |
3 | Utebo FC | 34 | 61 | 49.7 | +11.3Outperforming ++ | 6 | +6.8 | +4.5 | 0:1 vs Ath Bilbao B (+2.3) | 1:0 vs Naxara (-1.7) |
4 | Zaragoza B | 34 | 56 | 49.0 | +7.0Outperforming ++ | 7 | +7.0 | +0.1 | 0:1 vs Gernika (+1.7) | 0:2 vs Barbastro (-2.0) |
5 | Real Sociedad C | 34 | 47 | 40.1 | +6.9Outperforming ++ | 13 | +5.1 | +1.8 | 2:0 vs UD Logrones (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Barbastro (-1.7) |
6 | Barbastro | 34 | 47 | 41.0 | +6.0Outperforming ++ | 12 | +5.1 | +0.9 | 0:2 vs Zaragoza B (+2.2) | 3:1 vs AD San Juan (-1.4) |
7 | UD Logrones | 34 | 71 | 66.9 | +4.1Outperforming | 1 | +3.5 | +0.6 | 0:3 vs Utebo FC (+1.4) | 2:0 vs Real Sociedad C (-1.9) |
8 | Gernika | 34 | 43 | 43.9 | -0.9On expectation | 10 | +0.6 | -1.5 | 1:2 vs Alaves B (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Barbastro (-1.5) |
9 | AD San Juan | 34 | 33 | 34.2 | -1.2On expectation | 16 | +5.8 | -7.1 | 1:0 vs Ath Bilbao B (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Utebo FC (-1.6) |
10 | Calahorra | 34 | 46 | 48.7 | -2.7Underperforming | 8 | -3.2 | +0.6 | 0:1 vs Arenas Getxo (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Gernika (-1.7) |
11 | Mutilvera | 34 | 33 | 35.8 | -2.8Underperforming | 14 | -3.0 | +0.2 | 0:1 vs Tudelano (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Brea (-1.6) |
12 | Tudelano | 34 | 48 | 51.6 | -3.6Underperforming | 5 | -5.1 | +1.5 | 1:2 vs Arenas Getxo (+1.8) | 1:4 vs Valle Egues (-2.4) |
13 | Alaves B | 34 | 52 | 57.9 | -5.9Underperforming −− | 4 | +0.8 | -6.7 | 1:0 vs UD Logrones (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Gernika (-2.1) |
14 | Arenas Getxo | 34 | 41 | 47.4 | -6.4Underperforming −− | 9 | -9.9 | +3.5 | 0:1 vs Alaves B (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Izarra (-1.8) |
15 | Naxara | 34 | 24 | 30.8 | -6.8Underperforming −− | 17 | +3.4 | -10.2 | 1:0 vs Tudelano (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Mutilvera (-1.3) |
16 | Izarra | 34 | 36 | 43.8 | -7.8Underperforming −− | 11 | +1.3 | -9.1 | 1:2 vs Arenas Getxo (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Brea (-1.8) |
17 | Valle Egues | 34 | 21 | 29.7 | -8.7Underperforming −− | 18 | -6.1 | -2.6 | 1:4 vs Tudelano (+2.5) | 0:2 vs Mutilvera (-1.4) |
18 | Brea | 34 | 21 | 34.6 | -13.6Underperforming −− | 15 | -9.2 | -4.4 | 1:0 vs Alaves B (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Valle Egues (-1.8) |
