Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2022-2023 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | AD San Juan | 34 | 51 | 42.0 | +9.0Outperforming ++ | 13 | +6.8 | +2.3 | 0:1 vs Gernika (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Mutilvera (-1.5) |
2 | Alaves B | 34 | 59 | 51.0 | +8.0Outperforming ++ | 3 | +7.0 | +1.0 | 0:1 vs Tarazona (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Real Sociedad C (-1.6) |
3 | Sestao | 34 | 72 | 65.1 | +6.9Outperforming ++ | 1 | +8.3 | -1.4 | 0:1 vs UD Logrones B (+1.5) | 0:1 vs Brea (-2.2) |
4 | Real Sociedad C | 34 | 52 | 45.9 | +6.1Outperforming ++ | 9 | +6.6 | -0.5 | 1:2 vs Mutilvera (+1.9) | 1:0 vs Arnedo (-1.8) |
5 | Utebo FC | 34 | 53 | 49.2 | +3.8Outperforming | 7 | +1.8 | +1.9 | 0:2 vs Izarra (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Tarazona (-1.5) |
6 | Tarazona | 34 | 56 | 52.6 | +3.4Outperforming | 2 | +8.4 | -5.0 | 2:1 vs Sestao (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Brea (-1.9) |
7 | Gernika | 34 | 53 | 49.9 | +3.1Outperforming | 6 | +1.5 | +1.6 | 0:2 vs Arenas Getxo (+2.0) | 0:1 vs AD San Juan (-1.9) |
8 | Tudelano | 34 | 52 | 50.2 | +1.8On expectation | 5 | +3.8 | -2.0 | 0:3 vs Arenas Getxo (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Beasain (-1.8) |
9 | Brea | 34 | 44 | 43.2 | +0.8On expectation | 12 | -0.4 | +1.3 | 0:1 vs Sestao (+2.4) | 1:2 vs AD San Juan (-1.7) |
10 | Mutilvera | 34 | 46 | 45.7 | +0.3On expectation | 10 | +4.1 | -3.8 | 0:2 vs Tudelano (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Cirbonero (-1.9) |
11 | Arenas Getxo | 34 | 48 | 49.1 | -1.1On expectation | 8 | +0.9 | -2.0 | 0:2 vs Gernika (+2.0) | 2:3 vs Cirbonero (-1.8) |
12 | Cirbonero | 34 | 40 | 41.9 | -1.9On expectation | 14 | -5.7 | +3.8 | 0:1 vs Mutilvera (+2.2) | 2:3 vs Alfaro (-1.8) |
13 | Izarra | 34 | 48 | 50.5 | -2.5Underperforming | 4 | -1.5 | -1.0 | 1:2 vs Cirbonero (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Utebo FC (-1.7) |
14 | Beasain | 34 | 41 | 43.9 | -2.9Underperforming | 11 | +1.4 | -4.3 | 1:2 vs Tudelano (+2.1) | 1:3 vs Mutilvera (-1.6) |
15 | Alfaro | 34 | 34 | 38.1 | -4.1Underperforming | 17 | +1.0 | -5.1 | 2:3 vs Cirbonero (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Cirbonero (-1.6) |
16 | UD Logrones B | 34 | 32 | 39.0 | -7.0Underperforming −− | 16 | +1.7 | -8.8 | 1:0 vs Gernika (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Mutilvera (-1.5) |
17 | Arnedo | 34 | 24 | 31.3 | -7.3Underperforming −− | 18 | -2.4 | -4.9 | 0:4 vs Racing Rioja (+2.3) | 0:2 vs Cirbonero (-1.5) |
18 | Racing Rioja | 34 | 32 | 41.2 | -9.2Underperforming −− | 15 | -0.8 | -8.4 | 1:2 vs Gernika (+1.9) | 0:4 vs Arnedo (-2.0) |
