Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | IMT Novi Beograd | 2 | 6 | 3.3 | +2.7Outperforming | 3 | +1.0 | +1.7 | 0:1 vs Cukaricki (+1.7) | 4:0 vs Zemun (1.0) |
2 | Crvena zvezda | 2 | 6 | 3.7 | +2.3Outperforming | 2 | +2.3 | 0.0 | 5:0 vs Macva (+1.7) | 3:1 vs Vojvodina (0.6) |
3 | Novi Pazar | 2 | 4 | 2.8 | +1.2On expectation | 5 | +1.6 | -0.4 | 1:0 vs Radnicki 1923 (+1.6) | 0:0 vs Mladost (-0.4) |
4 | Zeleznicar Pancevo | 1 | 3 | 1.9 | +1.1On expectation | 11 | +1.1 | 0.0 | 2:1 vs Radnicki Nis (+1.2) | 2:1 vs Radnicki Nis (1.2) |
5 | Vojvodina | 2 | 3 | 2.4 | +0.6On expectation | 7 | +1.0 | -0.4 | 4:0 vs OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet (+1.0) | 3:1 vs Crvena zvezda (-0.4) |
6 | Cukaricki | 2 | 3 | 2.6 | +0.4On expectation | 6 | -1.4 | +1.8 | 0:2 vs Radnicki Nis (+1.8) | 0:1 vs IMT Novi Beograd (-1.4) |
7 | Partizan | 2 | 4 | 4.3 | -0.3On expectation | 1 | 0.0 | -0.3 | 1:3 vs Macva (+0.8) | 2:2 vs Zemun (-1.1) |
8 | Mladost | 2 | 2 | 2.3 | -0.3On expectation | 10 | -0.3 | +0.0 | 1:1 vs Radnik (+0.0) | 0:0 vs Novi Pazar (-0.3) |
9 | Zemun | 2 | 1 | 1.4 | -0.4On expectation | 13 | +0.4 | -0.8 | 2:2 vs Partizan (+0.4) | 4:0 vs IMT Novi Beograd (-0.8) |
10 | Radnik | 2 | 2 | 2.9 | -0.9On expectation | 4 | -0.7 | -0.1 | 0:0 vs OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet (+-0.1) | 1:1 vs Mladost (-0.7) |
11 | Radnicki 1923 | 1 | 0 | 1.3 | -1.3On expectation | 14 | 0.0 | -1.3 | 1:0 vs Novi Pazar (+-1.3) | 1:0 vs Novi Pazar (-1.3) |
12 | OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet | 2 | 1 | 2.3 | -1.3On expectation | 9 | -0.6 | -0.8 | 0:0 vs Radnik (+-0.6) | 4:0 vs Vojvodina (-0.8) |
13 | Macva | 2 | 0 | 1.8 | -1.8On expectation | 12 | -0.6 | -1.2 | 1:3 vs Partizan (+-0.6) | 5:0 vs Crvena zvezda (-1.2) |
14 | Radnicki Nis | 2 | 0 | 2.4 | -2.4Underperforming | 8 | -1.6 | -0.9 | 2:1 vs Zeleznicar Pancevo (+-0.9) | 0:2 vs Cukaricki (-1.5) |