Mozzart Bet Super Liga 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Vojvodina | 12 | 28 | 21.9 | +6.1Outperforming ++ | 2 | +4.2 | +1.9 | 2:3 vs Partizan (+1.7) | 2:0 vs Novi Pazar (-1.7) |
2 | Crvena zvezda | 11 | 31 | 26.3 | +4.7Outperforming | 1 | +3.1 | +1.6 | 0:3 vs Radnicki 1923 (+1.0) | 0:0 vs Radnik (-1.4) |
3 | Mladost | 11 | 17 | 12.4 | +4.6Outperforming | 12 | +2.9 | +1.7 | 3:1 vs Partizan (+2.1) | 2:0 vs IMT Novi Beograd (-0.8) |
4 | IMT Novi Beograd | 11 | 18 | 15.2 | +2.8Outperforming | 7 | +2.3 | +0.6 | 1:2 vs Partizan (+1.9) | 1:0 vs Macva (-1.7) |
5 | Radnicki 1923 | 11 | 17 | 14.8 | +2.3Outperforming | 9 | +2.5 | -0.2 | 0:1 vs Partizan (+2.2) | 1:0 vs Novi Pazar (-1.3) |
6 | Radnik | 12 | 17 | 14.8 | +2.2Outperforming | 8 | +5.3 | -3.1 | 3:1 vs Cukaricki (+1.5) | 1:0 vs IMT Novi Beograd (-1.0) |
7 | Zeleznicar Pancevo | 10 | 17 | 15.7 | +1.3On expectation | 6 | +2.8 | -1.6 | 2:1 vs Cukaricki (+1.2) | 2:0 vs Novi Pazar (-1.4) |
8 | Macva | 12 | 10 | 9.9 | +0.1On expectation | 13 | +1.5 | -1.4 | 1:0 vs IMT Novi Beograd (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Mladost (-1.4) |
9 | Novi Pazar | 11 | 13 | 14.2 | -1.2On expectation | 10 | +1.5 | -2.7 | 2:0 vs Vojvodina (+2.0) | 1:4 vs OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet (-1.6) |
10 | Cukaricki | 12 | 15 | 16.4 | -1.4On expectation | 4 | -0.1 | -1.3 | 0:2 vs Radnicki Nis (+1.8) | 0:1 vs IMT Novi Beograd (-1.5) |
11 | OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet | 12 | 11 | 16.1 | -5.1Underperforming −− | 5 | -2.1 | -3.0 | 1:4 vs Novi Pazar (+1.9) | 3:5 vs Radnicki 1923 (-1.3) |
12 | Radnicki Nis | 11 | 8 | 13.5 | -5.5Underperforming −− | 11 | -1.3 | -4.2 | 3:1 vs OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet (+1.6) | 1:0 vs Macva (-1.6) |
13 | Zemun | 12 | 3 | 8.7 | -5.7Underperforming −− | 14 | -3.2 | -2.5 | 2:2 vs Novi Pazar (+0.4) | 0:1 vs Mladost (-1.2) |
14 | Partizan | 10 | 11 | 17.5 | -6.5Underperforming −− | 3 | -3.1 | -3.4 | 3:1 vs OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet (+1.1) | 0:1 vs Radnicki 1923 (-2.0) |
