Mozzart Bet Super Liga 2023-2024 Performance vs Market
Regular phase only. Mozzart Bet Super Liga splits into championship and relegation groups after round 30; those deciding rounds aren't in our dataset yet, so this is the table at the split — not the final standings, and first place here isn't necessarily the season's champion.
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Radnicki 1923 | 30 | 50 | 37.4 | +12.6Outperforming ++ | 7 | +9.1 | +3.5 | 2:1 vs Vojvodina (+1.8) | 0:4 vs Novi Pazar (-1.7) |
2 | Mladost | 30 | 40 | 31.4 | +8.6Outperforming ++ | 15 | +6.4 | +2.1 | 0:1 vs IMT Novi Beograd (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Napredak (-1.5) |
3 | Partizan | 30 | 70 | 62.2 | +7.8Outperforming ++ | 2 | +3.3 | +4.5 | 2:1 vs Crvena zvezda (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Napredak (-2.4) |
4 | TSC | 30 | 60 | 53.0 | +7.0Outperforming ++ | 3 | -2.0 | +9.0 | 0:4 vs Partizan (+2.3) | 0:2 vs Sp. Subotica (-2.2) |
5 | Napredak | 30 | 39 | 32.7 | +6.3Outperforming ++ | 12 | -1.7 | +8.0 | 0:1 vs Partizan (+2.5) | 0:2 vs Radnik (-1.8) |
6 | Vojvodina | 30 | 50 | 48.4 | +1.6On expectation | 5 | +3.1 | -1.6 | 1:2 vs TSC (+1.9) | 2:0 vs Sp. Subotica (-1.5) |
7 | Crvena zvezda | 30 | 77 | 76.3 | +0.7On expectation | 1 | +1.3 | -0.6 | 1:3 vs TSC (+0.8) | 3:2 vs Vozdovac (-2.6) |
8 | Sp. Subotica | 30 | 34 | 33.5 | +0.5On expectation | 10 | -1.9 | +2.4 | 0:2 vs TSC (+2.4) | 1:3 vs Napredak (-1.7) |
9 | Novi Pazar | 30 | 36 | 37.0 | -1.0On expectation | 8 | +1.8 | -2.9 | 0:1 vs Radnicki Nis (+2.0) | 3:4 vs IMT Novi Beograd (-1.9) |
10 | Javor | 30 | 31 | 32.4 | -1.4On expectation | 13 | +3.8 | -5.2 | 0:1 vs Zeleznicar Pancevo (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Napredak (-1.7) |
11 | Cukaricki | 30 | 48 | 49.5 | -1.5On expectation | 4 | +1.1 | -2.5 | 2:1 vs Crvena zvezda (+2.4) | 0:1 vs IMT Novi Beograd (-2.1) |
12 | IMT Novi Beograd | 30 | 32 | 34.5 | -2.5Underperforming | 9 | -4.1 | +1.6 | 0:1 vs Cukaricki (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Mladost (-1.8) |
13 | Vozdovac | 30 | 30 | 33.4 | -3.4Underperforming | 11 | +3.3 | -6.7 | 3:2 vs Crvena zvezda (+2.8) | 1:2 vs Napredak (-1.7) |
14 | Radnicki Nis | 30 | 33 | 37.6 | -4.6Underperforming | 6 | -1.2 | -3.4 | 2:1 vs Partizan (+2.3) | 0:3 vs Radnik (-1.8) |
15 | Zeleznicar Pancevo | 30 | 26 | 32.2 | -6.2Underperforming −− | 14 | -2.6 | -3.6 | 0:1 vs Napredak (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Javor (-1.8) |
16 | Radnik | 30 | 17 | 29.6 | -12.6Underperforming −− | 16 | -11.4 | -1.2 | 0:3 vs Radnicki Nis (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Javor (-1.6) |
