Mozzart Bet Super Ligahub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Crvena zvezda | 38 | 108 | 95.0 | +13.0Outperforming ++ | 1 | +5.5 | +7.4 | 1:0 vs Partizan (+1.4) | 0:0 vs Javor (-1.7) |
2 | Metalac | 38 | 52 | 40.2 | +11.8Outperforming ++ | 17 | +5.4 | +6.4 | 2:3 vs TSC (+2.6) | 1:0 vs Zlatibor Cajetina (-1.9) |
3 | Cukaricki | 38 | 74 | 65.4 | +8.6Outperforming ++ | 4 | +4.3 | +4.3 | 1:2 vs Javor (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Proleter (-2.1) |
4 | Radnik | 38 | 55 | 46.8 | +8.2Outperforming ++ | 13 | +1.9 | +6.3 | 0:1 vs Radnicki Nis (+2.3) | 0:2 vs FK Indjija (-1.7) |
5 | Partizan | 38 | 95 | 88.0 | +7.0Outperforming ++ | 2 | +8.3 | -1.3 | 0:4 vs TSC (+1.3) | 3:2 vs Novi Pazar (-2.5) |
6 | Proleter | 38 | 53 | 47.3 | +5.7Outperforming ++ | 12 | +5.3 | +0.4 | 1:2 vs Cukaricki (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Metalac (-1.9) |
7 | Novi Pazar | 38 | 49 | 43.5 | +5.5Outperforming ++ | 14 | +10.5 | -5.0 | 3:2 vs Partizan (+2.6) | 0:2 vs Vozdovac (-2.0) |
8 | Rad Beograd | 38 | 48 | 43.1 | +4.9Outperforming | 15 | +3.9 | +1.0 | 0:1 vs Vozdovac (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Zlatibor Cajetina (-1.7) |
9 | Mladost | 38 | 54 | 51.6 | +2.4Outperforming | 8 | +7.0 | -4.7 | 1:0 vs Partizan (+2.6) | 1:0 vs Zlatibor Cajetina (-2.0) |
10 | Napredak | 38 | 50 | 48.4 | +1.6On expectation | 10 | +2.8 | -1.3 | 1:2 vs Radnicki Nis (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Rad Beograd (-1.8) |
11 | Vojvodina | 38 | 71 | 69.6 | +1.4On expectation | 3 | +4.3 | -2.9 | 3:2 vs Partizan (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Metalac (-2.4) |
12 | Sp. Subotica | 38 | 52 | 53.1 | -1.1On expectation | 7 | +0.3 | -1.4 | 0:1 vs Radnicki Nis (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Proleter (-2.0) |
13 | Javor | 38 | 46 | 47.4 | -1.4On expectation | 11 | +0.1 | -1.5 | 2:1 vs Vojvodina (+2.2) | 1:0 vs Macva (-2.0) |
14 | Vozdovac | 38 | 48 | 49.5 | -1.5On expectation | 9 | -0.3 | -1.1 | 0:2 vs Novi Pazar (+2.3) | 1:3 vs Radnik (-2.0) |
15 | Macva | 38 | 25 | 28.2 | -3.2Underperforming | 20 | +1.0 | -4.2 | 0:1 vs Zlatibor Cajetina (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Rad Beograd (-1.4) |
16 | Zlatibor Cajetina | 38 | 29 | 33.4 | -4.4Underperforming | 19 | -6.4 | +1.9 | 1:0 vs Mladost (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Macva (-2.1) |
17 | TSC | 38 | 58 | 64.2 | -6.2Underperforming −− | 5 | -3.0 | -3.1 | 0:1 vs Vojvodina (+2.1) | 2:3 vs Metalac (-2.4) |
18 | FK Indjija | 38 | 35 | 41.5 | -6.5Underperforming −− | 16 | -0.2 | -6.2 | 1:2 vs Backa (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Metalac (-1.6) |
19 | Radnicki Nis | 38 | 49 | 60.5 | -11.5Underperforming −− | 6 | -3.2 | -8.3 | 1:0 vs Partizan (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Radnik (-2.0) |
20 | Backa | 38 | 16 | 36.3 | -20.3Underperforming −− | 18 | -10.9 | -9.4 | 3:1 vs Metalac (+1.4) | 0:1 vs Rad Beograd (-1.8) |
