3. CFL - Group B 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Jablonec B | 7 | 15 | 10.0 | +5.0Outperforming | 7 | +3.0 | +1.9 | 0:2 vs Varnsdorf (+1.9) | 2:2 vs Mlada Boleslav B (-0.6) |
2 | Zapy | 7 | 17 | 14.0 | +3.0Outperforming | 1 | -0.8 | +3.7 | 2:3 vs Mlada Boleslav B (+1.5) | 1:1 vs Jablonec B (-1.3) |
3 | Benatky n. Jiz. | 6 | 11 | 8.4 | +2.6Outperforming | 10 | +0.3 | +2.3 | 2:3 vs Pardubice B (+2.0) | 1:0 vs Varnsdorf (-1.1) |
4 | Teplice B | 7 | 13 | 10.4 | +2.6Outperforming | 6 | +1.7 | +0.9 | 0:4 vs Liberec B (+1.6) | 1:0 vs Benatky n. Jiz. (-1.3) |
5 | Mlada Boleslav B | 7 | 13 | 11.3 | +1.7On expectation | 3 | -0.8 | +2.5 | 0:6 vs Horni Redice (+1.6) | 1:2 vs Neratovice (-2.1) |
6 | Banik Most-Sous | 6 | 12 | 11.0 | +1.0On expectation | 4 | -0.7 | +1.7 | 1:2 vs Chrudim (+1.6) | 0:1 vs Horni Redice (-2.4) |
7 | Varnsdorf | 6 | 10 | 10.0 | +0.0On expectation | 8 | +0.3 | -0.3 | 1:2 vs Neratovice (+1.4) | 3:1 vs Chrudim (-1.9) |
8 | Horni Redice | 6 | 6 | 6.8 | -0.8On expectation | 14 | -0.8 | +0.0 | 0:1 vs Banik Most-Sous (+2.5) | 1:3 vs Brozany (-1.4) |
9 | Pardubice B | 8 | 12 | 12.8 | -0.8On expectation | 2 | +0.7 | -1.4 | 1:0 vs Banik Most-Sous (+1.5) | 2:3 vs Benatky n. Jiz. (-1.8) |
10 | Neratovice | 7 | 6 | 7.1 | -1.1On expectation | 13 | -2.6 | +1.5 | 1:2 vs Mlada Boleslav B (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Varnsdorf (-1.2) |
11 | Caslav | 6 | 5 | 6.2 | -1.2On expectation | 15 | -0.8 | -0.5 | 2:1 vs Horni Redice (+1.5) | 0:1 vs Teplice B (-1.2) |
12 | Chrudim | 7 | 6 | 8.2 | -2.2Underperforming | 11 | -0.1 | -2.0 | 3:1 vs Varnsdorf (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Banik Most-Sous (-1.3) |
13 | Brozany | 7 | 7 | 9.3 | -2.3Underperforming | 9 | -3.0 | +0.7 | 1:3 vs Horni Redice (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Pardubice B (-1.1) |
14 | Liberec B | 7 | 5 | 7.3 | -2.3Underperforming | 12 | -1.5 | -0.8 | 1:2 vs Velke Hamry (+1.5) | 0:4 vs Teplice B (-1.4) |
15 | Hradec Kralove B | 7 | 7 | 10.9 | -3.9Underperforming | 5 | -1.3 | -2.6 | 2:1 vs Pardubice B (+1.4) | 1:0 vs Horni Redice (-1.7) |
16 | Velke Hamry | 7 | 1 | 5.7 | -4.7Underperforming | 16 | -3.0 | -1.7 | 0:0 vs Hradec Kralove B (+-0.1) | 1:2 vs Liberec B (-1.3) |
