3. CFL - Group B 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Jablonec B | 14 | 30 | 21.6 | +8.4Outperforming ++ | 6 | +1.4 | +7.0 | 1:3 vs Banik Most-Sous (+2.1) | 2:3 vs Benatky n. Jiz. (-1.8) |
2 | Mlada Boleslav B | 14 | 30 | 22.5 | +7.5Outperforming ++ | 4 | +0.4 | +7.1 | 0:1 vs Hradec Kralove B (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Neratovice (-2.1) |
3 | Benatky n. Jiz. | 14 | 25 | 20.6 | +4.4Outperforming | 8 | -1.9 | +6.3 | 2:3 vs Jablonec B (+2.1) | 3:3 vs Chrudim (-1.1) |
4 | Neratovice | 14 | 19 | 16.7 | +2.3Outperforming | 11 | -1.4 | +3.7 | 1:2 vs Mlada Boleslav B (+2.3) | 0:2 vs Caslav (-1.8) |
5 | Caslav | 14 | 16 | 14.3 | +1.6On expectation | 14 | -1.0 | +2.7 | 2:3 vs Zapy (+2.6) | 0:1 vs Teplice B (-1.2) |
6 | Pardubice B | 14 | 22 | 21.8 | +0.2On expectation | 5 | -0.3 | +0.5 | 0:4 vs Zapy (+2.4) | 2:3 vs Benatky n. Jiz. (-1.8) |
7 | Zapy | 14 | 28 | 27.9 | +0.1On expectation | 1 | -3.5 | +3.6 | 2:3 vs Mlada Boleslav B (+1.5) | 2:3 vs Caslav (-2.5) |
8 | Chrudim | 14 | 16 | 16.1 | -0.1On expectation | 12 | +1.6 | -1.7 | 3:1 vs Varnsdorf (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Banik Most-Sous (-1.3) |
9 | Liberec B | 15 | 17 | 18.1 | -1.1On expectation | 10 | -2.8 | +1.7 | 1:2 vs Hradec Kralove B (+1.9) | 0:4 vs Benatky n. Jiz. (-1.4) |
10 | Velke Hamry | 14 | 11 | 12.5 | -1.5On expectation | 16 | +2.4 | -4.0 | 2:0 vs Teplice B (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Liberec B (-1.3) |
11 | Horni Redice | 13 | 12 | 13.6 | -1.6On expectation | 15 | -1.1 | -0.5 | 0:1 vs Banik Most-Sous (+2.5) | 1:3 vs Brozany (-1.4) |
12 | Varnsdorf | 14 | 22 | 23.9 | -1.9On expectation | 3 | +0.1 | -2.0 | 1:2 vs Neratovice (+1.4) | 1:3 vs Horni Redice (-2.2) |
13 | Brozany | 14 | 12 | 15.9 | -3.9Underperforming | 13 | -2.0 | -1.9 | 3:1 vs Hradec Kralove B (+1.8) | 4:2 vs Velke Hamry (-1.5) |
14 | Hradec Kralove B | 14 | 16 | 20.7 | -4.7Underperforming | 7 | -1.5 | -3.2 | 1:2 vs Jablonec B (+1.9) | 1:0 vs Horni Redice (-1.7) |
15 | Banik Most-Sous | 14 | 18 | 24.2 | -6.2Underperforming −− | 2 | -3.8 | -2.3 | 1:2 vs Chrudim (+1.6) | 0:1 vs Horni Redice (-2.4) |
16 | Teplice B | 14 | 13 | 19.8 | -6.8Underperforming −− | 9 | -2.4 | -4.5 | 0:4 vs Liberec B (+1.6) | 4:1 vs Horni Redice (-1.9) |
