3. CFL - Group B 2025-2026 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Hradec Kralove B | 32 | 61 | 41.2 | +19.8Outperforming ++ | 7 | +9.2 | +7.6 | 1:0 vs Teplice B (+2.0) | 2:3 vs Mlada Boleslav B (-1.8) |
2 | FK Ceska Lipa | 32 | 88 | 68.8 | +19.3Outperforming ++ | 1 | +6.8 | +12.4 | 0:2 vs Neratovice (+1.4) | 1:2 vs Zapy (-1.9) |
3 | Zapy | 32 | 74 | 57.6 | +16.4Outperforming ++ | 2 | +7.7 | +5.6 | 1:2 vs FK Ceska Lipa (+2.2) | 2:4 vs Benatky n. Jiz. (-2.3) |
4 | Banik Most-Sous | 32 | 64 | 50.1 | +13.9Outperforming ++ | 3 | +4.9 | +3.0 | 0:3 vs Neratovice (+1.7) | 2:3 vs Velvary (-2.0) |
5 | Benatky n. Jiz. | 32 | 44 | 37.9 | +6.1Outperforming ++ | 12 | -2.4 | +4.5 | 2:4 vs Zapy (+2.4) | 1:4 vs Velvary (-1.9) |
6 | Varnsdorf | 32 | 37 | 31.4 | +5.6Outperforming ++ | 17 | -0.3 | +2.8 | 0:1 vs Teplice B (+2.5) | 1:2 vs Usti nad Orlici (-1.5) |
7 | Brozany | 32 | 34 | 31.8 | +2.2Outperforming | 16 | -0.8 | -0.9 | 1:0 vs Zapy (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Hradec Kralove B (-1.4) |
8 | Teplice B | 32 | 50 | 49.7 | +0.3On expectation | 4 | +1.6 | -1.2 | 1:2 vs Zapy (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Varnsdorf (-2.3) |
9 | Jablonec B | 32 | 39 | 38.9 | +0.1On expectation | 11 | -2.7 | +1.8 | 0:1 vs Mlada Boleslav B (+2.1) | 1:7 vs Brozany (-1.8) |
10 | Pardubice B | 32 | 43 | 43.9 | -0.9On expectation | 5 | +0.6 | -4.5 | 0:4 vs Neratovice (+1.6) | 1:2 vs Zapy (-1.5) |
11 | Liberec B | 32 | 37 | 39.6 | -2.6Underperforming | 10 | -4.9 | -0.7 | 3:5 vs Velvary (+1.8) | 2:3 vs Benatky n. Jiz. (-1.9) |
12 | Mlada Boleslav B | 32 | 38 | 40.8 | -2.8Underperforming | 9 | -6.3 | +0.5 | 2:3 vs Hradec Kralove B (+2.0) | 1:4 vs Benatky n. Jiz. (-1.9) |
13 | Usti nad Orlici | 32 | 31 | 34.4 | -3.4Underperforming | 14 | -2.6 | -1.8 | 1:2 vs Velvary (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Velvary (-1.5) |
14 | Neratovice | 32 | 36 | 41.0 | -5.0Underperforming −− | 8 | -5.1 | +0.0 | 1:3 vs Jablonec B (+1.8) | 2:9 vs Liberec B (-1.5) |
15 | Kolin | 32 | 24 | 33.7 | -9.7Underperforming −− | 15 | -3.7 | -6.0 | 2:0 vs Liberec B (+1.9) | 0:5 vs Hradec Kralove B (-1.3) |
16 | Velvary | 32 | 25 | 36.1 | -11.1Underperforming −− | 13 | -10.4 | -0.7 | 2:3 vs Banik Most-Sous (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Varnsdorf (-2.1) |
17 | Velke Hamry | 32 | 31 | 42.8 | -11.8Underperforming −− | 6 | -6.6 | -5.2 | 0:1 vs Benatky n. Jiz. (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Varnsdorf (-1.7) |
