3. CFL - Group B 2023-2024 Performance vs Market

Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	Zapy	29	62	53.0	+9.0Outperforming ++	3	+6.1	+2.9	0:3 vs Usti nad Labem (+1.9)	1:0 vs Zivanice (-2.0)
2	Brozany	29	49	41.8	+7.2Outperforming ++	5	+2.8	+4.5	2:3 vs Zapy (+2.1)	0:3 vs Banik Most-Sous (-1.6)
3	Velvary	29	62	55.5	+6.5Outperforming ++	1	+1.6	+4.9	0:1 vs Usti nad Labem (+1.8)	0:1 vs Pardubice B (-2.4)
4	Kolin	29	42	38.7	+3.3Outperforming	7	+7.0	-3.7	3:2 vs Usti nad Labem (+1.9)	1:4 vs Zivanice (-1.9)
5	FK Ceska Lipa	29	33	30.3	+2.7Outperforming	15	+6.1	-3.4	2:1 vs Prepere (+1.9)	0:4 vs Mlada Boleslav B (-1.5)
6	Sous-Prepere	1	3	0.8	+2.3Outperforming	30	0.0	+2.3	1:2 vs Banik Most (+2.3)	1:2 vs Banik Most (2.3)
7	Sous-Teplice B	1	3	0.9	+2.1Outperforming	26	0.0	+2.1	2:5 vs Banik Most (+2.1)	2:5 vs Banik Most (2.1)
8	Banik Most-Sous	15	21	19.2	+1.8On expectation	17	0.0	+1.8	0:3 vs Brozany (+1.8)	2:1 vs FK Ceska Lipa (-1.6)
9	Pardubice B	29	37	35.2	+1.8On expectation	11	-2.9	+4.7	0:1 vs Velvary (+2.5)	3:0 vs Prepere (-2.0)
10	Sous-Velvary	1	3	1.5	+1.5On expectation	18	0.0	+1.5	0:4 vs Banik Most (+1.5)	0:4 vs Banik Most (1.5)
11	Zivanice	29	35	33.6	+1.4On expectation	13	+5.8	-4.4	1:0 vs Zapy (+2.2)	3:2 vs Hradec Kralove B (-1.6)
12	Liberec B	29	37	36.1	+0.9On expectation	9	-0.6	+1.5	2:3 vs Prepere (+2.1)	2:3 vs Banik Most-Sous (-1.4)
13	Sous-Pardubice B	1	1	0.8	+0.2On expectation	29	0.0	+0.2	1:1 vs Banik Most (+0.2)	1:1 vs Banik Most (0.2)
14	Sous-Liberec B	1	1	0.8	+0.2On expectation	28	0.0	+0.2	2:2 vs Banik Most (+0.2)	2:2 vs Banik Most (0.2)
15	Sous-Mlada Boleslav B	1	1	0.9	+0.1On expectation	25	0.0	+0.1	0:0 vs Banik Most (+0.1)	0:0 vs Banik Most (0.1)
16	Sous-Brozany	1	1	1.0	0.0On expectation	24	0.0	0.0	0:0 vs Banik Most (+-0.0)	0:0 vs Banik Most (-0.0)
17	Sous-Kolin	1	1	1.0	-0.0On expectation	23	0.0	-0.0	0:0 vs Banik Most (+-0.0)	0:0 vs Banik Most (-0.0)
18	Sous-Zapy	1	1	1.2	-0.2On expectation	20	0.0	-0.2	2:2 vs Banik Most (+-0.2)	2:2 vs Banik Most (-0.2)
19	Usti nad Labem	29	53	53.3	-0.3On expectation	2	+2.0	-2.3	2:5 vs Zapy (+2.0)	3:1 vs Zivanice (-1.8)
20	Sous-Hradec Kralove B	1	0	0.5	-0.5On expectation	32	0.0	-0.5	4:0 vs Banik Most (+-0.5)	4:0 vs Banik Most (-0.5)
21	Sous-FK Ceska Lipa	1	0	0.6	-0.6On expectation	31	0.0	-0.6	2:0 vs Banik Most (+-0.6)	2:0 vs Banik Most (-0.6)
22	Hradec Kralove B	29	35	35.8	-0.8On expectation	10	-1.7	+0.9	1:2 vs Jablonec B (+2.2)	0:4 vs Chlumec nad Cidlinou (-1.7)
23	Sous-Zivanice	1	0	0.8	-0.8On expectation	27	0.0	-0.8	3:0 vs Banik Most (+-0.8)	3:0 vs Banik Most (-0.8)
24	Sous-Jablonec B	1	0	1.1	-1.1On expectation	22	0.0	-1.1	1:0 vs Banik Most (+-1.1)	1:0 vs Banik Most (-1.1)
25	Sous-Chlumec nad Cidlinou	1	0	1.1	-1.1On expectation	21	0.0	-1.1	2:1 vs Banik Most (+-1.1)	2:1 vs Banik Most (-1.1)
26	Sous-Usti nad Labem	1	0	1.3	-1.3On expectation	19	0.0	-1.3	2:1 vs Banik Most (+-1.3)	2:1 vs Banik Most (-1.3)
27	Teplice B	29	31	33.3	-2.3Underperforming	14	+1.6	-4.0	0:1 vs Mlada Boleslav B (+2.0)	2:3 vs Hradec Kralove B (-1.4)
28	Banik Most	15	24	27.1	-3.1Underperforming	16	-3.1	0.0	2:1 vs Sous-Usti nad Labem (+1.5)	1:2 vs Sous-Prepere (-2.0)
29	Mlada Boleslav B	29	32	37.9	-5.9Underperforming −−	8	-4.1	-1.8	1:2 vs Chlumec nad Cidlinou (+2.1)	1:2 vs Pardubice B (-2.0)
30	Chlumec nad Cidlinou	29	37	43.2	-6.2Underperforming −−	4	-2.8	-3.4	0:4 vs Hradec Kralove B (+1.9)	1:2 vs Pardubice B (-1.9)
31	Jablonec B	29	34	40.9	-6.9Underperforming −−	6	+0.5	-7.3	1:3 vs Mlada Boleslav B (+1.8)	1:2 vs Hradec Kralove B (-2.0)
32	Prepere	29	25	34.5	-9.5Underperforming −−	12	-3.2	-6.3	3:0 vs Pardubice B (+2.2)	2:3 vs Liberec B (-1.9)