Mardin 1969 vs Batman Petrolspor
1. Lig, Turkey · 2026-11-08 · 17:00 CET
WWLWW
LWDWLThe score model makes a Mardin 1969 win the most likely outcome at 43%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 57%). The data's biggest gap to the market: Over 2.5 goals — 57.3% vs 52.4% implied (+4.8 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Mardin 1969 1.63 – 1.35 Batman Petrolspor.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mardin 1969 win | 43.2% | 44.2% | -1.0% |
| Draw | 26.2% | 27.1% | -0.9% |
| Batman Petrolspor win | 30.6% | 28.7% | +1.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.8% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.3% | 52.4% | +4.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34.8% | 32.5% | +2.4% |
| Both teams to score | 60.6% | 56.4% | +4.2% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 72.5% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 37.0% | 36.1% | +1.0% |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: Mardin 1969 11.9 / Batman Petrolspor 11.9 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Mardin 1969 vs Batman Petrolspor in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.