Hacken W vs Pitea W
Allsvenskan Women, Sweden · 2026-11-15 · 14:00 CET
WWWWD
DLWLDThe score model makes a Hacken W win the most likely outcome at 89%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 74%). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles + form & shots)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Hacken W 3.27 – 0.56 Pitea W.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hacken W win | 88.5% | — | — |
| Draw | 7.8% | — | — |
| Pitea W win | 3.7% | — | — |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89.2% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 73.5% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 53.1% | — | — |
| Both teams to score | 40.8% | — | — |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 82.2% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 51.4% | — | — |
Model dc_ml_v1 · rating sample: Hacken W 39 / Pitea W 39 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Hacken W vs Pitea W in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.