Rosengard W vs Hacken W
Allsvenskan Women, Sweden · 2026-08-29 · 14:00 CET
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WDWWWThe score model made a Hacken W win the most likely outcome at 67%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 60%). It finished 0:1 (HT 0:1) — the most likely outcome came in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Rosengard W 0.92 – 2.20 Hacken W.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosengard W win | 14.9% | 11.6% | +3.3% | ✗ |
| Draw | 18.0% | 18.4% | -0.3% | ✗ |
| Hacken W win | 67.1% | 70.1% | -3.0% | ✓ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.3% | — | — | ✗ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.3% | 60.3% | -0.0% | ✗ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38.0% | 39.9% | -2.0% | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 52.9% | 50.1% | +2.8% | ✗ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 73.8% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 36.5% | 41.5% | -5.0% | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Rosengard W 34.6 / Hacken W 34.7 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.